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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Fu Shou Yuan International Group Limited (HKG:1448)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Fu Shou Yuan International Group Limited (HKG:1448)?

股票下跌且基础良好:市场对福寿园国际控股有限公司(港股代码:1448)是否错判?
Simply Wall St ·  07/25 18:28

It is hard to get excited after looking at Fu Shou Yuan International Group's (HKG:1448) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.3% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE today.

看完福寿园国际集团(HKG:1448)在最近三个月里股价下跌了9.3%后,我们很难感到兴奋。但是,股票价格通常受公司长期的财务业绩推动,在这种情况下,前景相当有希望。特别是,今天我们将密切关注福寿园国际集团的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

净资产收益率(roe)是衡量公司经营管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。换言之,它是一种利润率,衡量由公司股东提供的资本的回报率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fu Shou Yuan International Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,福寿园国际集团的ROE为:

15% = CN¥976m ÷ CN¥6.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

15%= CN¥ 97600万÷ CN¥ 66亿(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.15 in profit.

“回报率”是公司过去一年所赚取的收入。一个概念化的方法是,对于每HK$1的股东资本,公司的盈利为HK$0.15。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE对于盈利增长的重要性是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定roe是公司未来盈利的高效衡量标准。根据公司选择重新投资或“保留”利润的数量,我们可以评估公司未来盈利能力。一般来说,在其他条件相等的情况下,roe和利润保留率高的公司比不具备这些属性的公司增长率更高。

Fu Shou Yuan International Group's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

福寿园国际集团的盈利增长和15%的ROE

To start with, Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 15% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Fu Shou Yuan International Group's moderate 9.5% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

首先,福寿园国际集团的ROE看起来还可以。即使与15%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的ROE看起来也相当不错。这可能在一定程度上解释了福寿园国际集团过去五年中温和的9.5%增长以及其他因素。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Fu Shou Yuan International Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 5.7% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,当与行业净收入增长进行比较时,我们发现与同一时期业内平均增长5.7%相比,福寿园国际集团的增长相当高,这是非常好的。

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SEHK:1448 Past Earnings Growth July 25th 2024
SEHK:1448过去盈利增长2024年7月25日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Fu Shou Yuan International Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是评估股票价值时必须考虑的重要指标。投资者应该试图确定预期的盈利增长或下降(无论哪种情况),并确定股票未来的前景是光明还是黯淡。预期盈利增长的一个好指标是P / E比率,该比率根据股票的盈利前景确定市场愿意支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查福寿园国际集团是通过较高的P / E还是较低的P / E进行交易,相对于所在的行业。

Is Fu Shou Yuan International Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

福寿园国际集团是否有效利用其利润?

Fu Shou Yuan International Group has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

如上所述,福寿园国际集团具有适度的三年中位数派息比率为34%(或66%的保留比率)和可观的盈利增长,这意味着该公司一直在有效利用其利润。

Additionally, Fu Shou Yuan International Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 33%. As a result, Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 16% for future ROE.

此外,福寿园国际集团已经连续十年派发股息,这意味着该公司非常重视与股东分享其利润。我们最新的分析师数据显示,未来三年该公司的派息比率预计约为33%。因此,从分析师对未来ROE的估计为16%推断,福寿园国际集团的ROE预计不会有太大改变。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Fu Shou Yuan International Group's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们对福寿园国际集团的表现感到非常满意。特别是,公司正在大力投资其业务,并且与高回报率一起,这导致了盈利的大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的盈利预计将加速增长。要了解更多关于该公司未来盈利增长预测的信息,请参阅关于该公司的分析师预测的免费报告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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