Inno Laser Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301021) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 36% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Inno Laser Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Inno Laser Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Inno Laser Technology certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Inno Laser Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Inno Laser Technology?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Inno Laser Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. Revenue has also lifted 8.4% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Inno Laser Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shares in Inno Laser Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Inno Laser Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Inno Laser Technology you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Inno Laser Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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