Is Huali Industrial Group (SZSE:300979) A Risky Investment?
Is Huali Industrial Group (SZSE:300979) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍华德·马克斯曾经引用过一句话,他说:相比于担心股票价格波动,“我担心的是永久性损失的可能性......我认识的每个实际投资者都会担心。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险性时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务超载可能会导致破产。和许多其他公司一样,华力实业集团有限公司(深圳证券交易所:300979)使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务所创建的风险有多大?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人,则公司存在于他们的怜悯之下。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,公司可能会破产。尽管这不是太普遍的情况,但我们经常看到负债的企业因贷款人强迫其以困境价格融资而永久稀释股东权益。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看一下公司的现金和债务情况。
What Is Huali Industrial Group's Net Debt?
华力实业集团的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Huali Industrial Group had CN¥546.5m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.17b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥6.80b in cash, leading to a CN¥6.25b net cash position.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示,华力实业集团在2024年3月有5,465万元的债务,比起一年前的11.7亿元有所降低。但另一方面,它也拥有68亿元的现金,导致净现金位置为62.5亿元。
How Strong Is Huali Industrial Group's Balance Sheet?
华力实业集团的资产负债表是多么坚实?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Huali Industrial Group had liabilities of CN¥3.86b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥179.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.80b in cash and CN¥2.91b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥5.66b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,华力实业集团有38.6亿的负债到期于12个月内,还有1,797万元的负债到期超过12个月。与此相抵消,它拥有68亿元的现金和29.1亿元的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。所以其实它拥有比总负债更多的56.6亿元的流动性资产。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Huali Industrial Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Huali Industrial Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性是华力实业集团能够轻松偿还债务的迹象,因为其资产负债表并不紧张。简而言之,华力实业集团拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
Also good is that Huali Industrial Group grew its EBIT at 14% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huali Industrial Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
此外,华力实业集团去年EBIT增长了14%,进一步增强了其管理债务的能力。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是关注的重点领域。但最终,会影响华力实业集团保持健康资产负债表的能力的主要是未来的收益。因此,如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中包含分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Huali Industrial Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Huali Industrial Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,公司只能用硬通货现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。华力实业集团的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但还有一个有趣的问题,就是企业将其息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,因为这将影响其管理债务的需要和能力。在过去的三年中,华力实业集团的稳健自由现金流达到了EBIT的52%左右,这正是我们所期望的。这种自由现金流将使公司在适当时期更好地偿还债务。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Huali Industrial Group has net cash of CN¥6.25b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it also grew its EBIT by 14% over the last year. So we don't think Huali Industrial Group's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Huali Industrial Group that you should be aware of.
虽然我们理解投资者对债务的担忧,但您应该记住,华力实业集团有6.25亿元的净现金,以及低于流动资产的负债。同时我们也指出, 去年EBIT增长了14%。因此我们不认为华力实业集团的债务使用是有风险的。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是关注的重点领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如,我们已经确认华力实业集团存在一个风险标志,您需要注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。