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Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600396) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600396) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

华电辽宁能源发展有限公司(SHSE:600396)在债务使用方面承担了一定风险
Simply Wall St ·  07/26 19:01

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Huadian Liaoning Energy Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600396) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李录(受查理·芒格支持)曾说:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会遭受资本永久性损失。”因此,看来有经验的投资者知道,通常会涉及破产的债务是评估一个公司风险性的极其重要因素。我们注意到,ST金山能源化工股份有限公司 (上海证券交易所:600396.SS)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多大的风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司不能轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是利用自己的现金流。在最坏的情况下,一个公司如果无法偿还其债权人,可能会破产。然而,一种更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表着廉价的资本,尤其是当它取代具有高回报率的公司的股份时。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑其现金和债务情况。

How Much Debt Does Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd Carry?

ST金山能源化工股份有限公司负有多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd had debt of CN¥11.7b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥19.0b over a year. However, it does have CN¥496.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥11.2b.

下面这张图片,您可以点击以获取更多详细信息,显示ST金山能源化工股份有限公司2024年3月底的债务为117亿人民币,从一年前的190亿人民币减少,但它确实有49630万人民币的现金,抵消这些债务,导致净债务约为112亿人民币。

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SHSE:600396 Debt to Equity History July 26th 2024
SHSE:600396的债券与股权历史记录

How Healthy Is Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's Balance Sheet?

ST金山能源化工股份有限公司的资产负债表情况如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd had liabilities of CN¥7.23b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥5.41b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥496.3m in cash and CN¥1.05b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥11.1b.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,ST金山能源化工股份有限公司有7230万人民币的负债需在12个月内清还,有5410万人民币的负债需在12个月后清还。除此之外,它拥有49630万人民币的现金和1.05亿人民币的应收款,其中应于12个月内收回。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(短期)应收款的总和达111亿人民币。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥3.81b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

这里的不足严重影响了这家3810万人民币的公司,就像一个孩子扛着一只充满书籍、运动装备和小号的巨大背包一样。所以,我们肯定认为股东们需要密切关注这个问题。最后,如果ST金山能源化工股份有限公司的债权人要求偿还债务,它可能需要进行重大的再融资。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们使用两个主要的比率来告诉我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其利润前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用的次数(或其利息覆盖率,简称)。因此,我们考虑与折旧和摊销费用相关的盈利以及没有相关费用的盈利相对于债务水平。

Strangely Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 11.6, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Notably, Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of CN¥107m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

奇怪的是,ST金山能源化工股份有限公司的息税前利润折旧及摊销比率非常高,达11.6%,意味着高负债,但强大的利息覆盖率达0.1万。这意味着,除非公司可以获取非常便宜的债务,否则利息支出很可能会增长。值得注意的是,ST金山能源化工股份有限公司在去年的EBIT水平上出现了亏损,但在过去12个月内实现了正面EBIT 10700万元。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学习到的关于债务的信息最为重要。但是ST金山能源化工股份有限公司的盈利将影响其资产负债表在未来的情况。因此,在考虑债务时,肯定值得关注收益趋势。点击这里查看互动快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,虽然税务机关可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受冷硬的现金。因此,值得检查利息和税前利润和税前折旧及摊销(EBIT)的多少由自由现金流支撑。在过去的一年中,ST金山能源化工股份有限公司实际上比EBIT产生了更多的自由现金流。这种强劲的现金生成能力使我们感到非常满意。

Our View

我们的观点

While Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd's level of total liabilities has us nervous. To wit both its interest cover and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow were encouraging signs. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Huadian Liaoning Energy DevelopmentLtd (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

尽管ST金山能源化工股份有限公司的总负债水平让我们感到紧张。因此,其利息覆盖率和EBIT转化为自由现金流均是令人鼓舞的迹象。我们还应该注意到,与ST金山能源化工股份有限公司类似的公用股行业公司通常都可以毫无问题地使用债务。当我们考虑所有讨论的因素时,我们认为ST金山能源化工股份有限公司在使用债务方面承担了一些风险。虽然债务可以提高回报,但我们认为该公司现在的杠杆已经足够高。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学习到的关于债务的信息最为重要。但并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表中——远非如此。为此,您应该了解我们发现的关于ST金山能源化工股份有限公司的2个警示信号(包括让我们有些不舒服的1个)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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