Is Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology (SHSE:600522) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology (SHSE:600522) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600522) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理陆奇(受查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会承受永久性资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它使用的债务,因为债务过重可能会导致破产。我们可以看到,江苏中天科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600522)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否会使公司变得更加有风险。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还贷款,则存在于贷款人的控制下。资本主义的一个关键环节是“创造性破坏”,即银行家无情地清算失败的企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,企业必须以较低的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一种重要的工具,尤其是对于有资本需求的企业。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的就是将其现金和债务结合在一起。
How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Carry?
江苏中天科技承担了多少债务?
As you can see below, Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology had CN¥5.34b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥12.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥7.60b net cash position.
正如下面所示,截至2024年3月,江苏中天科技有53.4亿人民币的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以点击图表以查看更详细信息。但另一方面,它也有129亿人民币的现金,导致净现金为76亿人民币。
How Strong Is Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's Balance Sheet?
江苏中天科技的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology had liabilities of CN¥17.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.12b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥12.9b in cash and CN¥15.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥9.47b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
如果我们仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们会发现江苏中天科技有172亿人民币的负债需要在12个月内偿还,212亿元的负债需要在12个月后偿还。与此相对应的是,它持有129亿元的现金和159亿元的应收账款,这些都需要在12个月内偿还。因此,它可以拥有947亿元的流动资产,比总负债多。
It's good to see that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
很高兴看到江苏中天科技的资产负债表上有足够的流动性,表明负债的管理较为保守。考虑到它具有充足的短期流动性,我们认为它不会与贷款人产生任何问题。简洁地说,江苏中天科技具有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
But the other side of the story is that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology saw its EBIT decline by 8.5% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
但事情的另一面是,江苏中天科技在去年看到其EBIt下降了8.5%。如果收益以那种速度继续下降,公司的债务负担可能会越来越大。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,更重要的是未来的收益,这将决定江苏中天科技保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最后,公司只能用实打实的现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。江苏中天科技的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但是看一下该公司把利润前利息和税前EBIT转换为自由现金流的能力有多强,这很有意义,因为这将影响它管理债务的需要和能力。在过去的三年中,江苏中天科技的自由现金流为其EBIt的34%,这比我们预期的要弱。这在偿还债务时不是很好。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology has net cash of CN¥7.60b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's debt use. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology's earnings per share history for free.
虽然我们理解那些担心债务的投资者,但是您应该记住,江苏中天科技有76亿人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。因此,我们对江苏中天科技的债务使用没有困扰。最重要的指标之一是,要跟踪每股收益的增长速度,如果在增长,那就更好了。如果您已经意识到这一点,那么您很幸运,因为今天您可以免费查看江苏中天科技每股收益历史的交互式图表。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。