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Investors in Bank of Suzhou (SZSE:002966) Have Unfortunately Lost 17% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in Bank of Suzhou (SZSE:002966) Have Unfortunately Lost 17% Over the Last Five Years

苏州银行(SZSE:002966)的投资者在过去五年中遗憾地损失了17%。
Simply Wall St ·  07/26 19:27

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Bank of Suzhou Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002966), since the last five years saw the share price fall 32%.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但是,即使是最好的选股者也只有在某些选择下才能获胜。目前,一些股东可能会质疑他们对苏州银行股份有限公司(SZSE:002966)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了32%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在让我们来看看公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

While the share price declined over five years, Bank of Suzhou actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 12% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

尽管股价在五年内下跌,但苏州银行实际上设法将每股收益平均每年增加12%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,市场此前可能非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股还是令人失望。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长与股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.

我们注意到股息一直保持健康,因此这并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。尽管股价下跌的原因尚不完全明显,但仔细研究该公司的历史可能有助于解释这一点。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

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SZSE:002966 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 26th 2024
SZSE: 002966 2024 年 7 月 26 日收益和收入增长

We know that Bank of Suzhou has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们知道苏州银行最近提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Bank of Suzhou, it has a TSR of -17% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。以苏州银行为例,过去5年的股东总回报率为-17%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,公司支付的股息提高了股东的总回报率。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Bank of Suzhou shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 4.7% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 3% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Bank of Suzhou better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Bank of Suzhou has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我们很高兴地报告,苏州银行的股东在一年内获得了 4.7% 的股东总回报率。这确实包括股息。值得注意的是,与最近的股价表现相比,五年期年化股东总回报率每年亏损3%,这非常不利。我们通常更看重短期内的长期表现,但最近的改善可能暗示业务出现了(积极的)转折点。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解苏州银行,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。以风险为例,苏州银行有 1 个警告信号,我们认为您应该注意。

We will like Bank of Suzhou better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大规模的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢苏州银行。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份被低估的股票(主要是小盘股)的免费清单,这些股票最近有大量的内幕买盘。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接联系我们。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗?直接联系我们。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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