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We Think Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology (SZSE:000049) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology (SZSE:000049) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为德赛电池(SZSE:000049)在其债务方面存在一些风险。
Simply Wall St ·  07/26 21:22

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000049) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性远非风险同义词。” 当你考虑一家公司的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务在企业倒闭时通常是一个问题。重要的是,深圳德赛电池科技股份有限公司(SZSE:000049)确实负债。 但是这笔债务会对股东构成影响吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻松地通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来履行债务义务时,债务和其他负债对企业变得具有风险性。最终,如果企业无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么都得不到。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以较低的价格筹集新的股本资金,从而永久地使股东减少。话虽如此,在企业债务水平时,最常见的情况是企业合理地管理其债务并使其处于自己的优势。考虑一家公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务视为一体。

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology Carry?

深圳德赛电池科技有多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology had CN¥4.24b of debt, an increase on CN¥3.55b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.41b in cash, so it actually has CN¥175.2m net cash.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但它显示截至2024年3月,深圳德赛电池科技拥有42.4亿元的债务,比一年前增加了3.55亿元。但是,其资产负债表显示,它持有44.1亿元的现金,因此它实际上拥有1.752亿元的净现金。

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SZSE:000049 Debt to Equity History July 27th 2024
SZSE:000049负债股权历史记录截至2024年7月27日

A Look At Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology's Liabilities

看一眼深圳德赛电池科技的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology had liabilities of CN¥6.26b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.28b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.41b and CN¥3.99b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.13b.

根据最近的资产负债表显示,深圳德赛电池科技有626亿元的负债应于12个月内到期,328亿元的负债应在12个月后到期。另一方面,它有44.1亿元的现金和39.9亿元的应收账款应于一年内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和达11.3亿元。

Since publicly traded Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥9.26b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由于深圳德赛电池科技的公开交易股票总价值为92.6亿元,因此这种程度的负债似乎不会构成重大威胁。但是,负债足够,我们确实建议股东继续监控资产负债表的情况。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但深圳德赛电池科技的现金高于债务,因此我们非常自信它可以安全地管理其债务。

In fact Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 45% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

事实上,深圳德赛电池科技的救命草是其低债务水平,因为其EBIT在过去12个月中下降了45%。盈利下降(如果趋势持续下去)最终可能会使即使是适度的债务也变得相当危险。当你分析债务时,清晰的重点是资产负债表。但最终,公司未来的盈利能力将决定深圳德赛电池科技能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。所以,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这篇有关分析师盈利预测的免费报告非常有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology reported free cash flow worth 12% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;账面利润不起作用。尽管深圳德赛电池科技在其资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得看看它将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解它的现金余额是如何快速增加(或减少)的。在过去的三年中,深圳德赛电池科技报告了价值相当于其EBIT 12%的自由现金流,这实在相当低。对我们来说,这样的现金转换引发了对其消除债务能力的轻度焦虑。

Summing Up

总之

Although Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥175.2m. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology's balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Desay Battery Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管深圳德赛电池科技的资产负债表并不特别强大,由于其总负债,但拥有17520万元的净现金显然是一个积极的信号。因此,尽管我们看到了一些需要改进的领域,但我们并不担心深圳德赛电池科技的资产负债表。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但是,最终,每个公司都可能存在独立于资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现深圳德赛电池科技存在3个警示信号,您在投资之前应该了解。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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