CITIC Offshore Helicopter's (SZSE:000099) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the 20% YoY Shareholder Returns
CITIC Offshore Helicopter's (SZSE:000099) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the 20% YoY Shareholder Returns
CITIC Offshore Helicopter Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000099) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 26% in the last quarter. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. In fact, the share price is 138% higher today. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.
看到中国船舶工业集团海洋直升机股份有限公司(SZSE:000099)的股价在上个季度下跌了26%,股东们可能会感到担忧。但是,与之形成鲜明对比的是,在过去的半个世纪里,回报表现却令人印象深刻。事实上,股价今天比五年前高出138%。一般而言,长期回报会比短期回报更能反映公司的质量。只有时间会告诉我们股价中目前是否仍存在过高的乐观情绪。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否认的是,市场有时是高效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场感知如何改变是比较每股收益(EPS)变化和股价变动。
Over half a decade, CITIC Offshore Helicopter managed to grow its earnings per share at 4.6% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 19% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 50.06.
在过去的五年中,中信海直每股收益以年均4.6%的速度增长。与此同时,股价的平均年增长率为19%,比每股收益增长速度更快。因此,可以合理地认为,市场对公司的看法比五年前更高。鉴于公司的增长记录,这并不让人惊讶。这种乐观情绪在其相对较高的市盈率(50.06)中也可见一斑。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益随时间的变化情况(通过点击图像来查看确切数值)。
We know that CITIC Offshore Helicopter has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
我们知道,中信海直最近改善了其底线,但其营业收入是否会增长?此份免费报告显示分析师的营收预测,应该可以帮助您确定每股收益增长是否可以持续。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of CITIC Offshore Helicopter, it has a TSR of 148% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报之外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报率(TSR)。 TSR是一种回报计算方法,考虑了现金股息(假设任何股息均已再投资)的价值以及任何折价募资和剥离的计算价值。可以说,TSR更全面地反映了股票的回报。在中信海直的情况下,过去5年的TSR为148%。这超过了我们先前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
It's good to see that CITIC Offshore Helicopter has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 84% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 20% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for CITIC Offshore Helicopter that you should be aware of before investing here.
值得注意的是,中信海直在过去12个月中以总股东回报率84%的表现回馈股东。这其中已包括股息。由于一年的TSR优于五年的TSR(后者为每年20%),因此股票的表现在最近有所改善。在最理想的情况下,这可能暗示着真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的绝佳时机。我认为,长期的股价表现是业务表现的一种代理。但是,为了真正获得洞见,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,在进行投资之前,我们已经发现了1个针对中信海直的警告信号。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。