With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.2x THOR Industries, Inc. (NYSE:THO) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 17x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
THOR Industries has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, THOR Industries would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 53% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 50% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 32% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that THOR Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On THOR Industries' P/E
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that THOR Industries maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for THOR Industries that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of THOR Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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