share_log

Health Check: How Prudently Does Peking University Resources (Holdings) (HKG:618) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Peking University Resources (Holdings) (HKG:618) Use Debt?

健康检查:北京大学资源(控股)(HKG:618)如何审慎地使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  07/30 18:55

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Peking University Resources (Holdings) Company Limited (HKG:618) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

作为投资者,有人认为波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性远非风险的代名词。当你审查一个公司的风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当业务崩溃时往往涉及债务。重要的是,北京大学资源股份有限公司(港股:618)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当一家公司无法用自由现金流或者以有吸引力的价格筹集资本时,债务和其他负债对公司就是风险。最糟糕的情况是公司破产无法偿还债权人。然而,较为常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是该公司必须以低价发行新的股本,从而永久性稀释股东利益。但是说句公道话,最常见的情况是公司在合理控制债务方面做得很好,并且能够让债务对公司形成有利。因此,在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑现金和债务的总金额。

What Is Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s Net Debt?

北京大学资源(控股)公司的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Peking University Resources (Holdings) had CN¥1.75b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.92b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥890.2m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥857.9m.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,北京大学资源(控股)公司有17.5亿人民币的债务,比一年前的19.2亿人民币减少。然而,由于它有8902万人民币的现金储备,所以其净债务较少,约为8579万人民币。

big
SEHK:618 Debt to Equity History July 30th 2024
SEHK:618的资产负债率历史记录(2024年7月30日)

How Healthy Is Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s Balance Sheet?

北京大学资源(控股)公司的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Peking University Resources (Holdings) had liabilities of CN¥7.68b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.34b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥890.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥224.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥7.90b.

根据最后报告的资产负债表,北京大学资源(控股)公司在12个月内有7680万人民币的到期债务和1340万人民币的超过12个月的到期债务。抵消这些义务,它拥有890.2万人民币的现金储备以及2246万人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和,达到79亿元人民币。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥1.00b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Peking University Resources (Holdings) would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Peking University Resources (Holdings) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

这里的缺陷严重影响了10亿元人民币的公司本身,就像一个孩子背着一个装满书、体育用品和小号的巨大背包在挣扎一样。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。毕竟,如果北京大学资源(控股)公司今天必须支付其债权人,那么它可能需要进行大规模的再资本化。显然,资产负债表是你分析债务的重点。但是,你不能将债务完全孤立地看待;因为北京大学资源(控股)公司将需要利润来支付债务。因此,如果你想更多地了解其利润,也许可以查看长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Peking University Resources (Holdings) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 72%, to CN¥1.4b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在过去的一年中,北京大学资源(控股)公司的利息和税前损失,实际上将其营业收入减少了72%,即1.4亿人民币。这让我们感到非常紧张。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

While Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥495m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥786m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Peking University Resources (Holdings) (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

尽管北京大学资源(控股)公司的收入减少与湿毛巾一样令人心碎,但其息税前利润(EBIT)亏损甚至更不吸引人。实际上,它在EBIt层面上损失了49500万元人民币。当你将这个与上面提到的非常重要的资产负债表负债相结合时,我们对它非常谨慎,以至于我们基本上找不到合适的词语。当然,公司可能有一个关于如何迎接更光明未来的好故事。但现实是,与负债相比,其流动资产较低,而且去年亏损了78600万元人民币。因此,我们认为购买这只股票是有风险的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。但是,最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。这些风险很难被发现。每个公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了北京大学资源(控股)公司的2个警示信号(其中1个让我们有点不舒服!),你应该知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发