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Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:003009) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:003009) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

中天火箭股份有限公司(SZSE:003009)的股票表现强劲,但基本面不确定:未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  07/30 19:27

Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology (SZSE:003009) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 6.5% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's ROE in this article.

中天火箭(SZSE:003009)在股市上的表现不错,上周股价显著上涨6.5%。然而,该公司的关键财务指标似乎有所不同,这让我们质疑该公司当前的股价势头能否得以保持。具体来说,在本文中,我们决定研究中天火箭的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

roe指股东权益回报率,是一种有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地从股东获得的投资中产生回报。简单来说,这衡量了一家公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology is:

因此,基于上述公式,中天火箭的roe为:

4.7% = CN¥76m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

4.7% = CN¥7600万 ÷ CN¥16亿(截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报”就是过去十二个月的利润。理解这个概念的一种方法是,对于每个股东的 1 元资本,该公司赚了 0.05 元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量了公司有效地利用其利润的能力。根据公司再投资或“保留”的利润量以及公司再投资利润的效果,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般来说,其他条件相同,ROE高和盈利保留公司的成长率比没有这些属性的公司更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

对比中天火箭的收益增长和4.7%的roe

It is quite clear that Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's ROE is rather low. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 5.0% either. Given the low ROE Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's five year net income decline of 6.0% is not surprising.

很明显,中天火箭的roe相当低。行业对比显示,该公司的roe与5.0%的行业平均水平几乎没有什么区别。鉴于roe低,中天火箭过去五年的净收益下降了6.0%,这并不令人惊讶。

So, as a next step, we compared Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 10% over the last few years.

因此,作为下一步,我们将中天火箭的表现与行业进行了比较,并发现尽管该公司在缩减收益,行业在过去几年中的收益增长率却一直保持在10%左右。

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SZSE:003009 Past Earnings Growth July 30th 2024
SZSE:003009过去三年的收益增长率

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是评估股票价值时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者需要判断的下一步是,预期的收益增长或其缺乏已经反映在股价中,这将有助于他们判断股票是否面临明亮或暗淡的未来。如果您想了解中天火箭的估值,请查看其市盈率与行业的对比。

Is Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中天火箭是否有效利用其利润?

Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 10% (implying that it retains the remaining 90% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

中天火箭三年的平均派息比率仅为10%,这意味着它保留了其余90%的利润,这与收益持续下降并不一致。当一家公司保留大部分利润时,通常情况下不会出现这种情况。看起来可能有一些其他原因来解释这种缺乏,例如企业可能处于下降趋势之中。

In addition, Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,中天火箭一直在支付股息,虽然收益一直在下降。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Shaanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology visit our risks dashboard for free.

总体而言,我们对中天火箭有着复杂的感受。尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但鉴于低roe,投资者可能并没有从所有的再投资中受益。低收益增长表明了我们的理论是正确的。综上所述,我们应该谨慎对待这家公司,并且了解该企业的风险概况是一个了解风险的好方法。要了解中天火箭的两个风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表盘。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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