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V.F (NYSE:VFC) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

V.F (NYSE:VFC) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

V.F(纽交所:VFC)的债务使用可能被认为是有风险的。
Simply Wall St ·  07/31 06:19

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, V.F. Corporation (NYSE:VFC) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有些人认为,投资者必须以波动性(volatility)而非债务来衡量投资风险,但沃伦・巴菲特(Warren Buffett)出名地表示,“波动性和风险远非同义词。”因此,当你考虑到任何给定股票有多大的风险时,必须考虑到债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。值得注意的是,V.F. Corporation(纽交所:VFC)确实背负着债务。但是,这笔债务对股东而言是否成为担忧呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果一家企业无力偿还其贷款人,那么它就存在于贷款人的垂青下。 最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能将一无所获。 尽管这并不是很常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为贷款人强制要求以危机时的价格筹集资金而永久稀释股东。 话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,以其自身利益为基础。 考虑企业使用多少债务时要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务综合考虑。

What Is V.F's Net Debt?

V.F净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that V.F had debt of US$5.95b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$6.63b over a year. However, it also had US$676.9m in cash, and so its net debt is US$5.27b.

下面的图片,点击可以查看更多细节,显示V.F.在2024年3月底拥有59.5亿美元的债务,一年来减少了6.63亿美元。但它也拥有676.9万美元的现金,因此其净债务是52.7亿美元。

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NYSE:VFC Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024
NYSE:VFC股权负债历史记录于2024年7月31日

How Healthy Is V.F's Balance Sheet?

V.F的财务状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that V.F had liabilities of US$3.46b due within a year, and liabilities of US$6.50b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$676.9m as well as receivables valued at US$1.30b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$7.97b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,V.F.的负债包括需在一年内偿还的3.46亿美元,以及之后需偿还的6.5亿美元。与此相对,它拥有6,769万美元的现金和价值1.3亿美元的应12个月内到期应收账款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合还多797亿美元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$6.36b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

考虑到这个缺口超过公司636亿美元的市值,你可能会倾向于仔细审查资产负债表。假设,如果公司被迫以当前股价筹资偿还其债务,则需要进行大量发行股票以稀释股权。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了衡量公司相对于其收益的债务情况,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净负债与 EBITDA),又考虑到了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6, it's fair to say V.F does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 2.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Even worse, V.F saw its EBIT tank 41% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine V.F's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

净债务与息税前利润和折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率为5.6,可以说V.F.确实拥有大量的债务。但其2.8的利息保障倍数还是比较强的,这是一个好兆头。更糟的是,在过去12个月中,V.F.的EBIT下降了41%。如果收益继续保持这样的水平,它就没有可能偿还那笔债务。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益而不是其他任何因素,将决定V.F.今后是否能维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的分析师利润预测报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, V.F reported free cash flow worth 13% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但只有冰冷的现金会得到贷款人的认可。因此,值得检查V.F.资产负债表中有多少EBIT由自由现金流所支持。在过去三年中,V.F.报告了价值13%EBIT的自由现金流,这实际很低。对我们而言,这样的现金转换率引发了一些关于该公司熄灭债务能力的担忧。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both V.F's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like V.F has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for V.F (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地说,V.F.的净债务与息税前利润和折旧及摊销前利润比率及其会否扩大EBIT都让我们对其债务水平感到不安。此外,其利息覆盖也未能激发信心。考虑到所有上述因素,V.F.的债务太多了。虽然一些投资者喜欢这种冒险,但却一定不是我们的首选。毋庸置疑的是我们从资产负债表中了解到大部分债务。但并不是所有的投资风险都在资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,我们发现了2个V.F.的警示信号(其中1个非常重要!)在你投资之前应该了解。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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