Xiangxue Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300147) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.4% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 26% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Despite Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It's no surprise that Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com