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Is Samudera Shipping Line (SGX:S56) A Risky Investment?

Is Samudera Shipping Line (SGX:S56) A Risky Investment?

三洋航运(新加坡交易所:S56)是否是一项高风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  07/31 19:40

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Samudera Shipping Line Ltd (SGX:S56) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Howard Marks说得很好,与其担心股价波动,“我担心永久性的亏损……我认识的每一位实践投资者都是如此。”所以聪明的钱知道,破产通常涉及债务,债务是评估公司风险的一个非常重要因素。重要的是,苏卜拉海运股份有限公司(SGX:S56)确实负载债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司具有风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

普遍而言,只有在企业难以通过筹集资本或自身现金流轻松偿付债务时,债务才会真正成为问题。资本主义体系中自带的"创造性破坏"过程,在这个过程中,银行家无情地清算破产的企业。然而,一个更常见的(但仍然很痛苦的)情况是,它不得不在低价时筹集新的股本资金,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,没有任何负面影响。考虑企业的现金和债务总量是考虑企业负债水平的第一步。

What Is Samudera Shipping Line's Debt?

苏卜拉海运股份的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Samudera Shipping Line had US$63.3m of debt, an increase on US$27.5m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has US$312.7m in cash, leading to a US$249.4m net cash position.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年6月,苏卜拉海运公司负载6300万美元的债务,比一年前的2750万美元有所增加。但另一方面,它也有31270万美元的现金,使其净现金持仓达到24940万美元。

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SGX:S56 Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024
SGX:S56股权偿付历史记录,截至2024年7月31日。

How Healthy Is Samudera Shipping Line's Balance Sheet?

苏卜拉海运公司的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Samudera Shipping Line had liabilities of US$114.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$183.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$312.7m in cash and US$82.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$97.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表看到,苏卜拉海运公司应于一年内到期的负债为1.14亿美元,超过该期限的负债为183.6亿美元。与此抵消的是,它持有31270万美元的现金和8270万美元的应收帐款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。所以,它可以自豪地说,其比总负债多9770万美元的流动资产。

It's good to see that Samudera Shipping Line has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Samudera Shipping Line boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

很高兴看到苏卜拉海运公司的资产负债表上有足够的流动性,表明了对负债的谨慎管理。由于其强大的净资产地位,它不太可能面临与贷方的问题。简言之,苏卜拉海运公司拥有净现金,因此可以说它负载不重!

It is just as well that Samudera Shipping Line's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 71% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Samudera Shipping Line will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

很好,苏卜拉海运公司的负载不太重要,因为它最近一年的EBIt下降了71%。当一家公司看到其收益急剧下降时,有时会发现其与贷方的关系变得紧张。分析债务水平时,要从资产负债表入手是显而易见的。但是,您不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为苏卜拉海运公司需要收益来偿还那些债务。因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收益的信息,可能值得查看一下其长期收益趋势的图表。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Samudera Shipping Line has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Samudera Shipping Line actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润就不够了。尽管苏卜拉海运公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,有助于我们了解其积累(或消耗)现金的速度。在过去的三年中,苏卜拉海运公司实际上产生了比EBIt更多的自由现金流。这种强劲的现金转换让我们兴奋不已,就像大碟酷玩乐队上场时人群一样。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Samudera Shipping Line has US$249.4m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 113% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$52m. So we don't think Samudera Shipping Line's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Samudera Shipping Line .

尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智的,但在这种情况下,苏卜拉海运公司有249.4亿美元的净现金和一个看起来不错的资产负债表。上面还有一个樱桃,即将113%的EBIt转换为自由现金流,带来了5200万美元的收入。因此,我们认为苏卜拉海运公司使用的债务并不具有风险。在分析债务水平时,从资产负债表入手是显而易见的。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范畴的风险。为此,您应该知道我们发现的苏卜拉海运公司的2个警示信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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