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Jianglong Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300589) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Jianglong Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300589) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

江龙船艇股份有限公司(SZSE:300589)股票表现强劲,但基本面不确定:前景如何?
Simply Wall St ·  08/01 18:34

Jianglong Shipbuilding (SZSE:300589) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Jianglong Shipbuilding's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jianglong Shipbuilding is:

6.5% = CN¥55m ÷ CN¥835m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.07.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Jianglong Shipbuilding's Earnings Growth And 6.5% ROE

When you first look at it, Jianglong Shipbuilding's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.9%, we may spare it some thought. However, Jianglong Shipbuilding has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. Hence, this provides some context to the flat earnings growth seen by the company.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 9.5% over the last few years.

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SZSE:300589 Past Earnings Growth August 1st 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Jianglong Shipbuilding is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Jianglong Shipbuilding Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Jianglong Shipbuilding has a low three-year median payout ratio of 18% (or a retention ratio of 82%) but the negligible earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention.

In addition, Jianglong Shipbuilding has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Jianglong Shipbuilding's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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