share_log

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics Engineering Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603960)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics Engineering Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603960)?

下滑的股票与不错的财务:上海克来机电工程股份有限公司(SHSE:603960)市场误判?
Simply Wall St ·  08/01 23:01

With its stock down 20% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd (SHSE:603960). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd's ROE in this article.

由于股票在过去三个月下跌了20%,容易忽略上海科莱机电工程有限公司(SHSE:603960)。然而,公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期的财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势相一致。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究上海科莱机电工程有限公司的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东权益回报率ROE是测试公司增值能力和管理股东投资的有效性的指标。更简单地说,它衡量公司在股东权益中的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海科莱机电工程有限公司的ROE为:

8.3% = CN¥91m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

8.3%= CN¥9100万÷CN¥11亿(截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回报”是每年的利润。换句话说,对于每一元人民币的股权,公司能够赚取0.08元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,roe作为一种有效的盈利预测工具,可为公司未来的盈利能力提供参考。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”的利润比例,我们可以评估其未来盈利能力。总的来说,在其他条件相等的情况下,roe和利润保留比例高的公司比那些不具备这些特点的公司增长速度更快。

Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd's Earnings Growth And 8.3% ROE

上海科莱机电工程有限公司的盈利增长和8.3%的ROE

At first glance, Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.9% which we definitely can't overlook. But seeing Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd's five year net income decline of 8.2% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,上海科莱机电工程有限公司的ROE看起来并不是很有前途。尽管进一步研究表明,该公司的ROE高于6.9%的行业平均水平,这是我们绝对不能忽略的。但考虑到上海科莱机电工程有限公司在过去五年中的净收入下降了8.2%,我们可能需要重新评估一下。请记住,该公司的ROE起点比较低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,这在一定程度上解释了收益减少的原因。

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 9.5% over the last few years.

因此,作为下一步,我们将上海科莱机电工程有限公司的表现与行业进行了比较,很失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在收缩其收益,但行业的收益在过去几年中以9.5%的速度增长。

big
SHSE:603960 Past Earnings Growth August 2nd 2024
SHSE:603960过去的收益增长

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 603960 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

赋予公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长有关。 对于投资者来说,知道市场是否已经定价了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)非常重要。通过这样做,他们会知道股票是前进到清澈的蓝色水域还是面临着泥泞的水域。603960是否定价合理?该公司的内在价值信息图就有您想知道的一切。

Is Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海科莱机电工程有限公司是否有效地再投资其利润?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (that is, a retention ratio of 69%), the fact that Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管普通三年中位数的股息支付比率为31%(即留存比率为69%),但上海科莱机电工程有限公司的收益萎缩还是令人困惑。 因此,可能有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd has paid dividends over a period of seven years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,上海科莱机电工程有限公司已经连续七年支付股息,这意味着该公司的管理层非常关注保持其股息支付,而不考虑收益的下降。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体而言,我们确实认为上海科莱机电工程有限公司具有一些积极因素。尽管如此,我们对收益缺乏增长感到失望,即使ROE适中,再投资率也很高。我们认为可能存在一些外部因素对业务产生了负面影响。话虽如此,根据当前的分析师预测,我们发现该公司的收益增长率有望大幅提高。要了解有关该公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看有关分析师预测的这份免费报告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发