When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider XPO, Inc. (NYSE:XPO) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 55.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
XPO certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
NYSE:XPO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 2nd 2024 Keen to find out how analysts think XPO's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like XPO's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 42% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 19,767% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 39% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why XPO is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On XPO's P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of XPO's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for XPO (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than XPO. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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