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Royal Deluxe Holdings' (HKG:3789) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Royal Deluxe Holdings' (HKG:3789) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

御佳控股(HKG:3789)的业绩不佳未反映全貌。
Simply Wall St ·  08/02 19:36

The market for Royal Deluxe Holdings Limited's (HKG:3789) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

御佳控股(HKG:3789)的股票价格在最近发布低新闻后并未有较大的波动。我们的分析表明,虽然利润较低,但公司基础依然稳固。

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SEHK:3789 Earnings and Revenue History August 2nd 2024
3789股票2024年8月2日的营业收入和利润历史数据

A Closer Look At Royal Deluxe Holdings' Earnings

详细分析御佳控股的营业收入与利润

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者没有听说过来自现金流的计提比率,但实际上它是衡量公司利润在给定期间内如何得到自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。该计提比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,然后将结果除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。您可将来自现金流的计提比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,一家公司有负应计比率实际上是一件好事,但是如果它的应计比率为正,那是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,如果应计比率相当高,有一些学术证据表明,这是一个不利于近期利润的坏迹象。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Royal Deluxe Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$35m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$9.77m. Royal Deluxe Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

经过12个月的计算,御佳控股录得了-0.12的应计利润率。因此,其法定利润大幅低于其自由现金流。换而言之,在这期间,公司自由现金流为3500万港币,远超其报告的977万港币的盈利。御佳控股的股东无疑对过去12个月自由现金流的提升感到高兴。但是话说回来,故事还有更多的内涵。应计利润率在一定程度上反映了非经常性项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Royal Deluxe Holdings.

注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击此处可进入我们有关御佳控股资产负债表分析的页面。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

Royal Deluxe Holdings' profit was reduced by unusual items worth HK$3.3m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Royal Deluxe Holdings took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to March 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

御佳控股在过去12个月中因非经常性项目减记330万港币的资产而盈利受到了影响,但这也让其出现了盈利高于应计项目的情况,这在公司减记纸面利润的情况下是可以预见的。看到非经常性项目成本减少公司盈利并不是太好的事情,但好的一面是,未来可能很快会见好转。我们研究了全球大多数上市公司,发现重大的非经常性项目通常不会重复出现。毕竟这正是会计术语的含义。

Our Take On Royal Deluxe Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对御佳控股的盈利表现进行评估

Considering both Royal Deluxe Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think Royal Deluxe Holdings' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Royal Deluxe Holdings at this point in time. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Royal Deluxe Holdings (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

结合御佳控股的应计利润率和非经常性项目,我们认为其法定盈利不太可能夸大公司潜在的盈利能力。基于这些因素,我们认为御佳控股的盈利潜力至少与表面一致,甚至可能更好!因此,虽然盈利质量很重要,但在目前的时点上,考虑御佳控股面临的风险同样重要。我们进行了研究,并发现了御佳控股有4个预警信号(其中两个信号不怎么让我们满意!)需要受到您的充分重视。

After our examination into the nature of Royal Deluxe Holdings' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

通过对御佳控股利润性质的调查,我们对公司持乐观态度。但如果您能将注意力集中于细节,还有更多可供发现的东西。有些人认为高股本回报率是高质量业务的一个良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这篇涵盖高股本回报率公司的免费合集,或者这份拥有重要内部持股的股票清单非常有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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