You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300676) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Biotechs companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.4x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does BGI Genomics' Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at BGI Genomics over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for BGI Genomics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For BGI Genomics?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as BGI Genomics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 36%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 54% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 263% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why BGI Genomics' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of BGI Genomics revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for BGI Genomics (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com