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Is Teledyne Technologies (NYSE:TDY) A Risky Investment?

Is Teledyne Technologies (NYSE:TDY) A Risky Investment?

Teledyne Technologies(纽交所:TDY)是一项高风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/05 08:27

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:TDY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说:“波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当您考虑某个给定股票存在多少风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会拖累一家公司。”我们注意到 Teledyne Technologies Incorporated(NYSE:TDY)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务造成了多少风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业出现资本短缺或自由现金流问题时,债务可以为其提供帮助。作为资本主义的一部分,“创造性破坏”的过程往往是银行家无情地清理失去生机的企业,然而,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,公司需要以较低的价格筹集新的股本资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的优点在于它通常代表着廉价资本,尤其是当它替代在公司具有高回报率的能力时的稀释时。在我们评估债务水平时,首先要考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Teledyne Technologies Carry?

Teledyne Technologies 承受多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Teledyne Technologies had US$2.80b of debt in June 2024, down from US$3.35b, one year before. However, it does have US$443.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.35b.

您可以单击下面的图表以查看历史数据,但它显示,截至 2024 年 6 月,Teledyne Technologies 的债务总额为 2.8 亿美元,低于一年前的 3.35 亿美元。但它确实有 4.4330 亿美元的现金来抵消这笔费用,从而导致净负债约为 2.35 亿美元。

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NYSE:TDY Debt to Equity History August 5th 2024
NYSE:TDY 股本与负债历史记录 2024 年 8 月 5 日

A Look At Teledyne Technologies' Liabilities

Teledyne Technologies 的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Teledyne Technologies had liabilities of US$1.39b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$3.51b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$443.3m in cash and US$1.16b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$3.29b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据最近的资产负债表,Teledyne Technologies 由于在未来 12 个月内必须支付的 1.39 亿美元的负债和超过 12 个月后必须支付的 3.51 亿美元的负债而拥有 0.4433 亿美元的现金和 1.16 亿美元的应收账款。因此其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出 32.9 亿美元。

Of course, Teledyne Technologies has a titanic market capitalization of US$19.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

当然,Teledyne Technologies 的市值达到 19.2 亿美元,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。即便如此,我们仍需继续关注其资产负债表,以免其恶化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了衡量公司相对于其收益的债务情况,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净负债与 EBITDA),又考虑到了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。

We'd say that Teledyne Technologies's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.8), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 16.5 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Notably Teledyne Technologies's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Teledyne Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

从该公司逐年稳定的息税前利润(EBIT)为 16.5 倍其利息费用可以看出,Teledyne Technologies 的合理净债务 / EBITDA 比率表明其处理债务的谨慎态度。 毫无疑问,财务报表上最能体现企业债务的是资产负债表。 但未来收益决定了 Teledyne Technologies 维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看本免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Teledyne Technologies produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,即便税务部门喜欢会计利润,贷款人也只接受确实的现金流。因此,我们必须清楚 Teledyne Technologies 的 EBIT 是否导致相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,Teledyne Technologies 制定了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其 EBIT 的 70%,这是我们预期的。这种自由现金流使公司在适当时可以偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Teledyne Technologies's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Teledyne Technologies is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Teledyne Technologies's earnings per share history for free.

Teledyne Technologies 的利息支付倍数说明其可以像Cristiano Ronaldo 对付 14 岁以下守门员那样应对债务。更好的消息是,其 EBIT 转化为自由现金流同样支持这种印象!当我们考虑以上各个因素时,看起来 Teledyne Technologies 在使用债务方面非常明智。虽然这带来了一定的风险,但也可能为股东带来更高的回报。我们认为除了其他因素之外,追踪每股收益正在以多快的速度增长是很重要的。如果您已经意识到了这一点,那么您很幸运,因为今天您可以免费查看这个互动图表,其中显示了 Teledyne Technologies 的每股收益历史记录。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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