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Is Now The Time To Put Progressive (NYSE:PGR) On Your Watchlist?

Is Now The Time To Put Progressive (NYSE:PGR) On Your Watchlist?

现在是把保险公司Progressive (纽交所: PGR) 加入你的自选名单的时候吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/08 08:56

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

投资者往往被发现“下一个大事件”的想法所指导,即使这意味着购买没有任何营业收入,更别提利润的“故事股”。不幸的是,这些高风险投资往往几乎没有可能得到回报,许多投资者付出了代价来吸取教训。亏损的公司尚未通过盈利证明自己,最终外部资本的流入可能会枯竭。

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Progressive (NYSE:PGR). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

尽管处于科技股蓝天投资时代,许多投资者仍然采用更传统的策略,买入像保险公司Progressive(纽交所:PGR)这样的盈利公司的股票。这并不是说该公司提供了最好的投资机会,但盈利是业务成功的关键组成部分。

How Fast Is Progressive Growing?

Progressive的增长速度有多快?

Generally, companies experiencing growth in earnings per share (EPS) should see similar trends in share price. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Progressive managed to grow EPS by 7.9% per year, over three years. That might not be particularly high growth, but it does show that per-share earnings are moving steadily in the right direction.

通常,每股收益(EPS)增长的公司应该看到相似的股价趋势。因此,有很多投资者喜欢购买EPS增长的公司的股票。Progressive在三年内成功将EPS每年增长7.9%。这可能不是特别高的增长率,但它确实显示每股收益在稳步朝着正确的方向发展。

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. The good news is that Progressive is growing revenues, and EBIT margins improved by 8.9 percentage points to 13%, over the last year. Both of which are great metrics to check off for potential growth.

仔细考虑营业收入增长和利息和税前利润率(EBIT)可以帮助确定最近的利润增长可持续性。好消息是,Progressive正在增长营业收入,过去一年EBIt利润率提高了8.9个百分点至13%。这两个指标都是潜在增长的良好指标。

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

下图显示了该公司底线和顶线随着时间的推移而发展的情况。点击图片以获取更精细的详细信息。

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NYSE:PGR Earnings and Revenue History August 8th 2024
纽交所:PGR收益和营收历史记录 2024年8月8日

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for Progressive's future EPS 100% free.

作为投资者,关键是找到未来表现良好的公司,而不仅仅是过去表现良好的公司。虽然不存在水晶球,但您可以免费查看我们对Progressive未来EPS的共识分析师预测的可视化呈现。

Are Progressive Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

保险公司Progressive的内部人是否与所有股东保持一致?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$125b company like Progressive. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$384m. This comes in at 0.3% of shares in the company, which is a fair amount of a business of this size. This should still be a great incentive for management to maximise shareholder value.

我们不会指望像Progressive这样的US$1250亿公司的内部人拥有大量股份。但我们确实从这个事实中得到了安慰,即他们是该公司的投资者。值得注意的是,他们在公司中拥有令人羡慕的股份,价值38400万美元。这占公司股份的0.3%,在这样一个规模的业务中是相当大量的。这仍然应该是管理层最大化股东价值的巨大激励。

Should You Add Progressive To Your Watchlist?

您应该将Progressive添加到自选列表中吗?

As previously touched on, Progressive is a growing business, which is encouraging. For those who are looking for a little more than this, the high level of insider ownership enhances our enthusiasm for this growth. That combination is very appealing. So yes, we do think the stock is worth keeping an eye on. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for Progressive that you should be aware of before investing here.

如前所述,Progressive是一家增长型公司,这是令人鼓舞的。对于那些寻求更多的人来说,高水平的内部所有权提高了我们对这种增长的热情。这种结合非常吸引人。因此,是的,我们认为这支股票值得关注。我们应该说,在此之前,我们已发现有1个警告迹象,需要您注意Progressive的投资之前。

While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in the US with promising growth potential and insider confidence.

尽管不增长收益且没有内部人士购买的股票可能会有回报,但对于重视这些关键指标的投资者来说,以下是在美国具有潜在增长和内部人士信心的经过慎重筛选的公司列表。

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

请注意,本文讨论的内部交易是指在相关司法管辖区中报告的交易。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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