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Take NVIDIA as an example to understand the investment strategy after losing money in stock buying | moomoo research

Take NVIDIA as an example to understand the investment strategy after losing money in stock buying | moomoo research

以英伟达为例,了解股票买入后亏损的投资策略 | moomoo研究
Moomoo Research ·  08/08 22:00

Recently, the U.S. stock market has been volatile, with the Nasdaq index falling 13% from its high. The stock prices of seven major technology stocks, represented by Nvidia, have suffered a heavy blow, causing many investors to fall into the unfavorable situation of being trapped in stocks due to market fluctuations. Do we have any way to deal with the strategy if the market does not rise or fall in the future?

近期美国股市波动较大,纳斯达克指数从高点下跌了13%。 七大科技股,以英伟达为代表的股价受到沉重打击,导致许多投资者因市场波动而陷入股票的不利境地。如果未来市场不升不跌,我们有什么应对策略呢?

At this time, in addition to waiting for the market to pick up, options can also be used as an effective risk management tool to mitigate or offset the losses caused by the decline in stocks.

此时,除了等待市场回暖外,还可以使用期权作为有效的风险管理工具,以减轻或抵消由股票下跌造成的损失。

But we need to remember a premise: the company's fundamentals must be very solid, and there will be no risk of long-term revenue and profit declines.

但我们需要记住一个前提条件:公司的基本面必须非常坚实,没有长期收入和利润下降的风险。

The following are several common option strategies:

以下是几种常见的期权策略:

1. If it is judged that the stock price cannot rise sharply for the time being and is prepared to hold for a long time, then continue to cover the call

1. 如果判断股票价格暂时无法大幅上涨并准备长期持有,则继续进行看涨期权卖出

For example, assuming that an investor purchases Nvidia stock (100 shares) at $120, as of August 7, 2024, the current market price has fallen to $98.9. By selling a call option with an expiration date of August 23 and an exercise price of $120 (note that 1 option does not correspond to 1 share, but 100 shares), a premium of $67 is immediately obtained to reduce the loss of the position.

例如,假设投资者以120美元购买英伟达股票(100股),截至2024年8月7日,当前市场价格已经下跌至98.9美元。通过出售到期日为8月23日,行权价格为120美元的看涨期权(注意1个期权不对应1股股票,而是对应100股),立即获得67美元的权利金,以减少头寸的损失。

By the expiration date of the option on August 23, there are several situations (the following method simplifies the fees, and the actual situation needs to include the transaction fee):

到期日8月23日时,有几种情况(以下方法简化了费用,实际情况需要包括交易费用):

1) If Nvidia's stock price rebounds but remains below $120, the option will not be exercised, and the investor's option fee income is $58. For example, assuming that on August 23, Nvidia's stock price rebounds to $110, the investor's loss on the underlying stock is $1,000, that is, the final loss is $1,000-67=953.

1)如果英伟达的股价反弹,但仍然低于120美元,则该期权不会被执行,投资者的期权费收入为58美元。例如,假设8月23日,英伟达的股价反弹至110美元,投资者在标的股票上的损失为1000美元,即最终损失为1000-67= 953美元。

2) If the stock price rises above $120, the option is likely to be exercised, and the investor needs to sell the stock at the exercise price of $120, which means that the investor will lose the profit of the continued rise in the stock price, but also compensate for part of the loss through the option fee income. For example, if Nvidia's stock price rebounded to $130 on August 23, the investor would need to sell at $120, and the underlying stock profit would be 0, thus achieving capital preservation; while the premium profit would be $67, which means the final profit would be $67.

2)如果股价上涨到120美元以上,期权可能会被行权,投资者需要以120美元的行权价格出售股票,这意味着投资者将失去股价持续上涨带来的利润,但也将通过权利金收入部分补偿损失。例如,如果英伟达的股票价格在8月23日反弹到了130美元,则投资者需要以120美元的价格卖出,标的股票的利润为0,这样就实现了资本保值;而权利金的利润为67美元,意味着最终的利润是67美元。

3) If the stock price continues to move sideways and the investor continues to make similar covered call transactions, the accumulated option fees will make up for certain investment losses; for example, if the investor makes a covered call transaction once a month and the option fee earned for each transaction is $67, then after 12 months, if Nvidia's stock price still does not break through the strike price and hovers around $100, the accumulated profit from the option fee is $804, and the investor's underlying stock loss is $2,000, but after deducting the profit from the option fee, the loss is reduced to $1,196.

3)如果股价继续横向移动,投资者继续进行类似的覆盖式卖出期权交易,累计的期权费用将弥补一定的投资损失。例如,如果投资者每月进行一次看涨期权交易,并且每笔交易赚取的期权费是67美元,则在12个月后,如果英伟达的股票价格仍未突破行权价格并围绕100美元徘徊,则从期权费用累计获得的利润为804美元,而投资者在股票上的损失为2000美元,但在扣除利润后,损失减少到1196美元。

The risks and drawbacks of the Covered Call strategy are that the effective implementation of the Covered Call strategy often requires investors to hold a considerable number of stocks, because in the U.S. stock market, a standard call option contract represents 100 shares of stock. This means that in order to sell a call option, investors usually need to hold at least 100 shares of the corresponding stock. For Nvidia, 100 shares of Nvidia is equivalent to holding a position of $9,800. If it is not enough, we have other strategies, that is, we need to use technical analysis to perform some short-term operations ourselves.

Covered Call策略的风险和缺点在于,有效执行Covered Call策略通常需要投资者持有相当数量的股票,因为在美国股市中,标准看涨期权合约代表100股股票。这意味着为了卖出看涨期权,投资者通常需要持有至少100股相应的股票。对于英伟达来说,持有100股英伟达相当于持有9800美元的头寸。如果不够,我们有其他策略,即需要利用技术面分析自行进行一些短期操作。

2. Use stock volatility for trend trading

2. 利用股票波动进行趋势交易

For stocks with extremely high liquidity and volatility such as Nvidia, if a short-term trend is assumed, technical indicators can be used to try to reduce losses through active trend trading.

对于英伟达等极具流动性和波动性的股票,如果假定有短期趋势,可以利用技术指标尝试通过积极的趋势交易来减少损失。

In short, the trend line trading method is to follow the general direction of the price of stocks or financial products to buy and sell.

简而言之,趋势线交易方法是跟随股票或金融产品价格的总体方向进行买卖。

The highs and lows on the price chart are connected into a line. The rising trend line is connected from low to low, indicating that buyers are dominant and suitable for buying when the price pulls back to the trend line;

价格图表上的低点和高点被连接成一条线。上升趋势线从低点连接到低点,表示买家占优势,适合在价格回撤到趋势线时购买;

The falling trend line connects the highs, showing that the sellers are strong, and you can consider selling when the price rebounds to the trend line.

下降趋势线连接高点,显示卖家强壮,可以考虑在价格反弹到趋势线时卖出。

If the price breaks through the trend line, it may indicate a trend reversal:

如果价格突破趋势线,可能表示趋势反转:

The rising trend line is broken, which is a sell signal;

上涨趋势线被突破,这是一个卖出信号;

The falling trend line is broken, which is a buy signal.

下降趋势线被突破,这是一个买入信号。

Since technical analysis relies more on psychology, in technical analysis, short-term trends generally only have the best trading effect when they touch the trend line for the first time, and the second time is weaker. Moreover, more people need to pay attention to the trend line, and the effect will be better. We can see that in the ups and downs of the market, if you find the most suitable trading node in a certain range, you will effectively complete the trend trading. For example, the figure below is a 10-minute line. The trend line formed by the M5 (the average of the closing prices of the last 5 K lines) set by the 10-minute line is a strong moving average.

由于技术分析更依赖心理因素,在技术分析中,短期趋势通常只有在第一次接触趋势线时才具有最佳的交易效果,第二次则较弱。而且,越多的人关注趋势线,效果就越好。我们可以看到,在市场的波动中,如果在一定范围内找到最合适的交易节点,就可以有效地完成趋势交易。例如,下图是10分钟线图。由10分钟线设置的M5(最后0.5万行的收盘价平均值)构成了强有力的移动平均线的趋势线。

After confirming the trend direction, follow the trend to trade. Enter the market when the price breaks through the key resistance or support level. Or look for overbought or oversold signals and reverse trade when the price reaches extreme levels.

确认趋势方向后,跟随趋势交易。当价格突破关键阻力或支撑位时进入市场。或寻找超买或超卖信号,并在价格达到极端水平时进行反向交易。

Using high-volatility stocks for intraday trading is an active strategy that can help investors find opportunities when stocks are trapped. However, intraday trading is a high-risk strategy suitable for experienced investors who can withstand market fluctuations. Secondly, if there is no trending opportunity, short-term range fluctuations can be used for trading.

使用高风险股票进行日内交易是一种积极的策略,可以帮助投资者在股票被困住时寻找机会。然而,日内交易是一种高风险策略,仅适合经验丰富的投资者承受市场波动。其次,如果没有趋势机会,可以利用短期区间波动进行交易。

In addition, if it is assumed that the stock price fluctuates within a certain box, trend trading and other technical indicators can also be used to track it. We have many trading courses involving technical analysis in the moomoo classroom to assist everyone in trading.

此外,如果假设股票价格在一个特定区间内波动,可以使用趋势交易和其他技术面分析因子进行跟踪。我们在moomoo教室中有许多涉及技术面分析的交易课程,可协助大家进行交易。

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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