New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX)
New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX)
Celebrations may be in order for Ardelyx, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARDX) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The consensus statutory numbers for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increased, with their view clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.
Ardelyx, Inc.(纳斯达克股票代码:ARDX)的股东可能即将举行庆祝活动,分析师将对该公司的法定估计进行重大上调。收入和每股收益(EPS)的法定共识数字均有所增加,他们显然更加看好公司的业务前景。
After the upgrade, the ten analysts covering Ardelyx are now predicting revenues of US$304m in 2024. If met, this would reflect a huge 45% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to ameliorate slightly, reducing to US$0.26. Yet prior to the latest estimates, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$243m and losses of US$0.33 per share in 2024. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a sizeable increase to their revenue forecasts while also reducing the estimated loss as the business grows towards breakeven.
升级后,负责Ardelyx的十位分析师现在预测2024年的收入为3.04亿美元。如果得到满足,这将反映出与过去12个月相比销售额大幅增长45%。预计每股亏损将略有改善,降至0.26美元。然而,在最新估计之前,分析师一直预测2024年的收入为2.43亿美元,每股亏损0.33美元。因此,在最近的共识更新之后,观点发生了很大变化,分析师大幅提高了收入预期,同时随着业务向盈亏平衡的方向发展,也减少了估计的亏损。
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Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of US$11.28, implying that their latest estimates don't have a long term impact on what they think the stock is worth.
尽管进行了这些上调,但分析师并未对11.28美元的目标股价做出任何重大调整,这意味着他们的最新估计不会对他们认为该股的价值产生长期影响。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Ardelyx's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 109% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 73% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Ardelyx to grow faster than the wider industry.
从现在的大局来看,我们可以理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。分析师肯定预计Ardelyx的增长将加速,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为109%,而过去五年的历史年增长率为73%。相比之下,我们的数据表明,预计类似行业的其他公司(有分析师报道)的收入将以每年18%的速度增长。显而易见,尽管增长前景比最近更加光明,但分析师也预计Ardelyx的增长速度将超过整个行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The highlight for us was that the consensus reduced its estimated losses this year, perhaps suggesting Ardelyx is moving incrementally towards profitability. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. Some investors might be disappointed to see that the price target is unchanged, but we feel that improving fundamentals are usually a positive - assuming these forecasts are met! So Ardelyx could be a good candidate for more research.
我们的亮点是,该共识减少了今年的估计亏损,这可能表明Ardelyx正在逐步实现盈利。幸运的是,分析师还上调了收入预期,我们的数据显示,预计销售表现将好于整个市场。一些投资者可能会对目标股价保持不变感到失望,但我们认为,假设这些预测得到满足,基本面改善通常是积极的!因此,Ardelyx可能是进行更多研究的好人选。
Better yet, Ardelyx is expected to break-even soon - within the next few years - according to analyst forecasts, which would be a momentous event for shareholders. For more information, you can click through to our free platform to learn more about these forecasts.
更好的是,根据分析师的预测,预计Ardelyx将在未来几年内很快实现收支平衡,这对股东来说将是一个重大事件。欲了解更多信息,您可以点击我们的免费平台以了解有关这些预测的更多信息。
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.
当然,看到公司管理层在股票上投入大量资金与了解分析师是否在上调估计值一样有用。因此,您可能还希望搜索这份内部所有权高的免费股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。