Zhongtong Guomai Communication Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603559) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Zhongtong Guomai Communication may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x, since almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.5x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SHSE:603559 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 8th 2024
What Does Zhongtong Guomai Communication's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhongtong Guomai Communication over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Zhongtong Guomai Communication will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhongtong Guomai Communication will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Zhongtong Guomai Communication's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhongtong Guomai Communication would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 28% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 56% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Zhongtong Guomai Communication's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Zhongtong Guomai Communication's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It's no surprise that Zhongtong Guomai Communication maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhongtong Guomai Communication (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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