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Champion Homes, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Champion Homes, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Champion Homes公司刚刚打破了分析师的预测,并且分析师们一直在更新他们的预测。
Simply Wall St ·  08/09 07:30

Champion Homes, Inc. (NYSE:SKY) defied analyst predictions to release its first-quarter results, which were ahead of market expectations. Champion Homes beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$628m, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 13%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Champion Homes公司(纽交所:SKY)在发布第一季度业绩报告时超出市场预期。盈利超过预期,营业收入达到6,2800万美元,并且每股收益相较分析师预测表现出色,增长幅度达到13%。对投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,他们可以在报告中跟踪一家公司的业绩,了解专家对下一年的预测,并查看业务预期是否有任何变化。因此,我们收集了最新的业绩统计共识预测,以了解明年可能会发生什么。

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NYSE:SKY Earnings and Revenue Growth August 9th 2024
纽交所:SKY财报和收入增长2024年8月9日

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Champion Homes' five analysts is for revenues of US$2.42b in 2025. This would reflect a decent 11% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 26% to US$3.08. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$2.34b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.76 in 2025. So it seems there's been a definite increase in optimism about Champion Homes' future following the latest results, with a substantial gain in the earnings per share forecasts in particular.

考虑到最新的业绩,Champion Homes的五位分析师目前预测2025年的营业收入将达到24.2亿美元,较过去12个月的营业收入有一个显著的增长11%。预测每股收益将飙升26%至3.08美元。在此业绩报告发布之前,分析师原本预测2025年的营业收入为23.4亿美元,预测每股收益为2.76美元。因此,最新业绩报告数据显示,对于Champion Homes的未来,分析师信心显著上升,特别是预测每股收益的大幅增长。

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 8.8% to US$81.60per share. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Champion Homes at US$100.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$68.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Champion Homes shareholders.

随着这些调整,我们并不意外地看到,分析师将股票价格目标上调了8.8%,至每股81.60美元。然而还有另一种看待价格目标的方法,那就是看分析师提出的价格目标范围,这是因为广泛的估计可能意味着人们对企业可能结果的看法有多种。目前,看好派分析师将Champion Homes的股票定价为100美元,而看淡派则将股票定价为68美元。分析师对这家公司的观点确实存在差异,但在我们看来,预测范围并不足以表明Champion Homes股东可能会遭遇极端的结果。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Champion Homes'historical trends, as the 15% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 13% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 5.8% annually. So although Champion Homes is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

了解这些预测的更多背景,一种方法是比较它们与过去的业绩以及同行业其他公司的表现情况。我们可以从最新的预测中推断出,预测者认为Champion Homes的历史增长趋势将得以延续,因为截至2025年底的年化营收增长率与过去五年的13%年度增长大致相当。将这与行业整体相比较,分析师估计其收入将按年增长5.8%。因此,虽然预计Champion Homes将保持其营业收入增长率,但其营收增长的速度肯定会比整个行业要快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Champion Homes following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

这里最重要的是:分析师升级了对Champion Homes的每股收益预测,这表明在此次业绩报告之后,他们对Champion Homes的未来前景明显看好。令人高兴的是,他们还升级了对营业收入的预测,并预测它们将比整个行业增长得更快。我们注意到,股票价格目标有所上调,这表明分析师认为公司的内在价值有望随着时间的推移而提高。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Champion Homes going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

在这种思路下,我们认为公司的长期前景比明年的收益更具参考意义。在Simply Wall St,我们整理了Champion Homes截至2026年的全部分析师预测,你可以在这里免费查看。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Champion Homes you should know about.

那风险呢?每家公司都有,我们已经发现了2个警告信号,你也应该了解一些。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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