NIO Inc.'s (NYSE:NIO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Auto industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.6x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does NIO's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
NIO certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think NIO's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as NIO's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.6%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 140% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 29% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that NIO is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does NIO's P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
To us, it seems NIO currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for NIO you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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