YesAsia Holdings Limited (HKG:2209) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 736% gain over the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Specialty Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider YesAsia Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
SEHK:2209 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 11th 2024
What Does YesAsia Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
YesAsia Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for YesAsia Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For YesAsia Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like YesAsia Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 57% gain to the company's top line. As a result, it also grew revenue by 16% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that YesAsia Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From YesAsia Holdings' P/S?
The large bounce in YesAsia Holdings' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of YesAsia Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware YesAsia Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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