Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited (HKG:1888) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 12% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, Kingboard Laminates Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.7x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 8x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Kingboard Laminates Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kingboard Laminates Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 52%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 68% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 48% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Kingboard Laminates Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Kingboard Laminates Holdings' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Kingboard Laminates Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kingboard Laminates Holdings you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kingboard Laminates Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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