Despite an already strong run, UTime Limited (NASDAQ:WTO) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 35% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 175% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in the United States' Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider UTime as a stock to avoid entirely with its 27.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does UTime's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that UTime's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on UTime will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For UTime?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, UTime would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 30% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that UTime's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does UTime's P/S Mean For Investors?
The strong share price surge has lead to UTime's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of UTime revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for UTime that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on UTime, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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