share_log

How Does Bitcoin Perform Ahead Of US Presidential Elections? 'Another 400 Days Of Upward Price Expansion Left,' Says Analyst

How Does Bitcoin Perform Ahead Of US Presidential Elections? 'Another 400 Days Of Upward Price Expansion Left,' Says Analyst

美国总统大选前,比特币表现如何?分析师称:“还有另外400天的价格上升空间。”
Benzinga ·  08/13 10:37

Max, CEO and founder of media platform Because Bitcoin, offers a unique perspective on Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) potential performance leading up to and following the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

Because Bitcoin媒体平台的创始人兼CEO Max,对比特币(加密:BTC)在即将到来的美国总统大选前后的潜在表现提出了独特的观点。

What Happened: In his latest podcast, Max examined Bitcoin's historical price action around past U.S. elections, identifying a consistent trend: bear markets tend to bottom well before elections, followed by a gradual upward movement into election day.

发生了什么:在他的最新播客中,Max审视了比特币在过去的美国选举中的历史价格走势,确定了一个一致的趋势:熊市往往在选举前触底,然后逐渐上升到选举日。

The analyst notes that regardless of whether a new president takes office or an incumbent remains, Bitcoin has shown similar behavior across multiple election cycles. Max observes, "You put in a bear market bottom, you grind up into the election, and then you have an aggressive expansion to the upside immediately following."

分析师指出,无论是新总统上任还是现任连任,比特币在多个选举周期中都表现出类似的行为。Max观察到:“你看跌市场底部,你在选举中往上磨合,然后你在随后的上升中迎来激增。”

Interestingly, Max points out that post-election rallies have lasted approximately one year in previous cycles. He calculates that Bitcoin reached its peak 393, 404, and 372 days after the 2012, 2016, and 2020 elections, respectively.

有趣的是,Max指出,以往的选举周期中,选举后的行情反弹持续了大约一年。他计算出比特币在2012年,2016年和2020年选举后分别在393、404和372天后达到峰值。

big

Also Read: A Donald Trump Win Could Be Seen As Bullish, Harris Victory As Bearish For Crypto: Bernstein

还阅读:唐纳德·特朗普赢得选举可能被视为对加密货币看好的信号,而哈里斯的胜利则被视为看淡的信号:伯恩斯坦。

Why It Matters: Max suggests that Bitcoin could potentially see a bull market peak between October and December 2025 if history repeats. He emphasizes, "That would mean that from right now because we're not at the election yet, we potentially have another 400 days left of upward price expansion."

为什么它很重要:Max建议,如果历史重演,比特币有可能在2025年10月至12月之间见顶。他强调:“这意味着从现在开始,因为我们还没有到选举日,我们潜在地还有400天左右的价格上升。”

Max also highlights the curious alignment of Bitcoin halvings with U.S. elections, noting that recent halvings have occurred just before elections, often coinciding with choppy price action. On April 20, Bitcoin prices stood at $63,850 and then rallied to $71,400 exactly one month later on May 20.

Max还强调了比特币减半与美国选举之间的奇妙配合,指出最近的减半常常发生在选举之前,往往与价格的波动相吻合。4月20日,比特币价格为63,850美元,一个月后的5月20日涨至71,400美元。

While cautioning that past performance doesn't guarantee future results, Max's analysis provides a thought-provoking framework for understanding Bitcoin's potential trajectory about political cycles.

虽然警告过去的表现不能保证未来的结果,但Max的分析提供了一个思考框架,了解比特币在政治周期中的潜在轨迹。

What's Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.

接下来:比特币作为机构资产类别的影响力预计将在Benzinga即将到来的数字资产未来活动中得到彻底探讨。日期是11月19日。

  • Bitcoin Will Outperform Gold, Ethereum And Even Nvidia, Trader Claims
  • 交易员称比特币将胜过黄金、以太坊甚至英伟达。

This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

此内容部分使用人工智能工具生成,并由Benzinga编辑审查和发布。

Image created using artificial intelligence with Midjourney.

该图片使用Midjourney人工智能创建。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发