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We Think North Industries Group Red Arrow (SZSE:000519) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think North Industries Group Red Arrow (SZSE:000519) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我们认为中兵红箭(SZSE:000519)可以轻松管理其债务
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 18:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that North Industries Group Red Arrow Co., Ltd (SZSE:000519) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到中兵红箭股份有限公司(SZSE:000519)在其业务中确实使用了债务。但这笔债务是否会成为股东的担忧呢?David Iben说得好,“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失”。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻松履行债务时,债务和其他负债对企业会产生风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。如果情况变得真的很糟糕,贷方可以接管企业。但是,更常见但仍然昂贵的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东,仅为了控制债务。 当然,债务对于企业来说可能是一个重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是将其现金和债务结合起来看。

What Is North Industries Group Red Arrow's Net Debt?

中兵红箭的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that North Industries Group Red Arrow had debt of CN¥206.4m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥335.0m over a year. However, it does have CN¥6.04b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥5.84b.

下面的图片(您可以单击以获取更多详细信息)显示,中兵红箭在2024年3月底的债务为2.064亿元人民币,较去年的3.35亿元人民币有所减少。不过,它有60.4亿元人民币的现金抵消这一点,导致净现金达到584亿元人民币。

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SZSE:000519 Debt to Equity History August 14th 2024
SZSE:000519资产负债率历史记录截至2024年8月14日

A Look At North Industries Group Red Arrow's Liabilities

观察中兵红箭的负债

The latest balance sheet data shows that North Industries Group Red Arrow had liabilities of CN¥3.87b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥781.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.04b in cash and CN¥2.03b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.42b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,中兵红箭还有38.7亿元的短期债务到期,以及7818万元的长期债务到期。相抵消的是,它有60.4亿元的现金和20.3亿元的应收账款,这些账款在12个月内到期。所以,它拥有342亿元的流动资产超过总负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that North Industries Group Red Arrow is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that North Industries Group Red Arrow has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过剩的流动性表明中兵红箭正在谨慎处理债务。鉴于它具有足够的短期流动性,我们认为它不会与其债权人发生任何问题。简而言之,中兵红箭持有现金超过其债务,这是一个好迹象,表明它可以安全地管理其债务。

On top of that, North Industries Group Red Arrow grew its EBIT by 60% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine North Industries Group Red Arrow's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,中兵红箭在过去的十二个月中,EBIT增长了60%,这种增长将使其更容易处理其债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解到的关于债务的信息最多。但与其它任何事情相比,未来的收益将决定中兵红箭维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看此免费报告,以查看分析师的利润预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. North Industries Group Red Arrow may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, North Industries Group Red Arrow recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,公司只能用冰冷的现金支付债务,而不能用会计利润支付。中兵红箭可能有净现金在资产负债表上,但仍然有意思的是,看看公司如何将其利润(利息和税前利润)转换为自由现金流,因为这将影响其管理债务的需要和能力。在过去的三年中,中兵红箭的自由现金流为其EBIT的30%,低于我们的预期。这种弱的现金转换使其更难以处理负债。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that North Industries Group Red Arrow has net cash of CN¥5.84b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 60% over the last year. So is North Industries Group Red Arrow's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in North Industries Group Red Arrow, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

虽然我们同情那些担心债务的投资者,但您应该记住,中兵红箭有58.4亿元人民币的净现金,以及比负债更多的流动资产。而中兵红箭过去一年的EBIT增长了60%。因此,中兵红箭的债务是否存在风险?对我们来说似乎没有。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此,如果您关注中兵红箭股票,您可能想单击此处,查看其每股收益历史的交互式图表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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