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Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's (SHSE:600727) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's (SHSE:600727) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

山东鲁北化工股份有限公司(SHSE:600727)的收益比表面上还要弱
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 19:33

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Shan Dong Lu Bei Chemical Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600727) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

尽管山东鲁北化工股份有限公司(SHSE:600727)发布了一些强劲的盈利数据,但其股票市场并没有太多波动。我们进行了一些调查,并在详细信息中发现了一些令人担忧的因素。

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SHSE:600727 Earnings and Revenue History August 14th 2024
SHSE:600727的收益和营业收入历史(截至2024年8月14日)

Examining Cashflow Against Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's Earnings

对山东鲁北化工股份有限公司的现金流量与盈利进行分析

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

很多投资者并不了解从现金流量表中计算的预付账款率,但它实际上是衡量公司利润由自由现金流(FCF)支撑情况的有用指标。简单地讲,这个比率将自由现金流(FCF)从净利润中减去,然后除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。这一比率告诉我们公司多少利润不由自由现金流支撑。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负的计提率是件好事,因为它表明该公司所带来的自由现金流比其利润所显示的要多。虽然高于零的计提率没有什么大碍,但我们认为当公司的计提率相对较高时值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高计提率往往导致利润更少或者更少的利润增长。

For the year to June 2024, Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.22. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥235.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥320m in the last year. It's worth noting that Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥269m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

就2024年6月期间而言,山东鲁北化工股份有限公司的应计比率为0.22。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远低于其报告的利润。尽管它报告了2,353万元人民币的利润,但查看自由现金流则表明它在过去一年中实际上烧掉了3,200万元人民币。值得注意的是,山东鲁北化工股份有限公司一年前产生了2,690万元人民币的正向自由现金流,所以至少过去他们已经成功过。对于股东来说好消息是,山东鲁北化工股份有限公司的应计比率去年要好得多,所以今年的糟糕表现可能只是在利润和自由现金流之间的短期不匹配。因此,一些股东可能正在寻找当前年度更强的现金转换能力。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。单击此处以查看我们对山东鲁北化工股份有限公司资产负债表的分析。

Our Take On Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's Profit Performance

我们对山东鲁北化工股份有限公司的利润表现的看法

Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 are potentially serious!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd.

山东鲁北化工股份有限公司在过去一年中将其利润转化为自由现金流的情况不佳,这可能被一些投资者认为是相当次优。因此,对我们来说,山东鲁北化工股份有限公司真正的潜在盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。好消息是,该公司今年表现出了足够的改善,在去年亏损之后实现了盈利。归根结底,要充分了解公司,必须考虑比上述因素更多的因素。如果您想深入研究山东鲁北化工股份有限公司,您还应该了解目前面临的风险。为此,我们发现了3个警告信号(其中2个可能非常严重!)您在购买山东鲁北化工股份有限公司股票之前需要知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我们仔细研究了一个数据点,以更好地了解山东鲁北化工股份有限公司利润的性质。但是,有许多其他方式可以了解公司的情况。有些人认为高净资产收益率是优质企业的良好迹象,虽然这可能需要一些调查,但您可能会发现这个免费的公司收益率集合或者这份具有重要内部控制的股票列表会很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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