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Is Huayi Brothers Media (SZSE:300027) A Risky Investment?

Is Huayi Brothers Media (SZSE:300027) A Risky Investment?

华谊兄弟传媒(SZSE:300027)是否是一项高风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 20:29

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Huayi Brothers Media Corporation (SZSE:300027) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

作为一个投资者,有人认为波动性而不是债务是思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险千差万别。”因此,当您考虑某个股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会导致公司破产。与许多其他公司一样,华谊兄弟(股票代码:300027)利用债务。但股东们是否应该担心华谊兄弟的债务使用呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当债务和其他负债变得对业务风险时,当公司无法轻松履行这些义务时,会出现风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。尽管这不是太普遍,但我们经常看到企业因负债累累而“永久性稀释”股东,因为借款人迫使它们以苦涩的价格筹集资本。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表着便宜的资本,特别是当它代替了公司在具有高投资回报率的能力时的稀释。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Huayi Brothers Media's Net Debt?

华谊兄弟媒体的净债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Huayi Brothers Media had CN¥989.4m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.58b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥276.8m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥712.6m.

您可以单击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示,华谊兄弟在2024年3月份的债务为98940万人民币,比一年前的1580万元人民币减少。但是,它也有27680万人民币的现金,因此其净债务为71260万人民币。

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SZSE:300027 Debt to Equity History August 15th 2024
SZSE: 300027 负债股本比历史数据 2024年8月15日

A Look At Huayi Brothers Media's Liabilities

华谊兄弟媒体的负债情况

The latest balance sheet data shows that Huayi Brothers Media had liabilities of CN¥2.18b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥969.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥276.8m in cash and CN¥388.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,华谊兄弟媒体有21.8亿人民币的短期负债,96920万元的长期负债。而其现金为27680万元,应收账款为38840万元,这些都是在12个月内到期的。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款总额高出249000万元人民币。

Huayi Brothers Media has a market capitalization of CN¥5.44b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huayi Brothers Media's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

华谊兄弟媒体的市值为54.4亿人民币,因此如果需要,它很有可能筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。但我们一定要密切关注其债务是否带来了过多的风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益,更多的是决定华谊兄弟媒体能否保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份自由报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

In the last year Huayi Brothers Media wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 4.9%, to CN¥528m. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在过去的一年中,华谊兄弟媒体在EBIT水平上并没有盈利,但其营业收入增长了4.9%,达到52800万元人民币。我们通常希望看到未盈利的公司实现更快的增长,但因人而异。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Importantly, Huayi Brothers Media had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥70m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥547m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Huayi Brothers Media's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

重要的是,华谊兄弟媒体在过去一年中的利润之前的利息和税前亏损,即EBIT亏损了7000万元人民币。当我们看到这一点并回想起其资产负债表上的负债相对于现金的情况时,我们认为公司有任何债务都是不明智的。因此,我们认为资产负债表有点紧张,但仍有可行性。例如,我们不希望看到去年54700万元人民币的亏损重演。所以坦白地说,我们认为它是有风险的。我们喜欢检查风险较高的公司的利润(或损失)在一段时间内的趋势。今天,我们为读者提供这个交互图表,显示华谊兄弟媒体的利润、收入和营运现金流在过去几年中的变化。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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