Bitcoin Down 10% In August—Here's What Traders Expect For September
Bitcoin Down 10% In August—Here's What Traders Expect For September
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is down 7% over the past 30 days, with traders to predicting further downside in September.
比特币（CRYPTO: BTC）过去30天下跌了7％，交易员预测9月会进一步下跌。
What Happened: Crypto trader Jelle noted that Bitcoin is down around 10% this month, in line with its August performance in the past two years. He predicts September to be a rough month that could see Bitcoin drop another 5%.
发生了什么：加密货币交易员Jelle指出，比特币本月下跌约10％，与过去两年的8月表现相符。他预测9月将是一个艰难的月份，可能会导致比特币下跌另外5％。
Halfway through August, #Bitcoin is down roughly 10% — in line with the previous two years.
September tends to be a rough month as well, with price generally losing ±5%.
Q4 is a completely different story though, with major gains on the seasonal menu.
Survive until then. pic.twitter.com/Lhyth3ihwh— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) August 15, 2024
八月中旬，# 比特币下跌了约10％-与前两年相符。
9月也往往是艰难的月份，价格通常会下跌±5％。
但 Q4 的情况则完全不同，季节菜单上有大幅收益。
坚持到那时。pic.twitter.com/Lhyth3ihwh— Jelle（@CryptoJelleNL）2024年8月15日
In another tweet, Jelle stated that Bitcoin flipped a technical indicator, confirming the "sell in May" crowd. He predicted, "Mean reversion almost complete, slow season almost behind us. Onwards & upwards, soon."
Jelle在另一条推文中表示，比特币翻转了一个技术指标，证实了“五月卖出”人群的说法。他预测：“均值回归几乎完成，淡季即将结束。向前迈进，往上攀升，不久后。”
Trader Scalping Pro noted that Bitcoin printed a bearish cross on the daily chart, with its 50-day moving average falling below the 200-day moving average, indicating short-team weakness. There was only one previous bearish cross in September 2023 when the price was trading around $25,000. Prices went sideways for some weeks before a bullish cross and a strong rally. He added, "If the pattern repeats we might see a few weeks of choppy PA here. The bullish confirmation will be a reclaim of the MA's followed by a nice bullish cross."
交易员Scalping Pro指出，比特币在日线图上打印出了看淡的十字星形态，其50日移动均线跌破了200日移动均线，表明短期弱势。在2013年9月，价格约为25000美元时，只有一次看淡的十字星形态。价格在经过几周的横盘后出现看涨的十字星形态和强劲的上涨。他补充说：“如果模式重复，我们可能会在这里看到几周的波动PA。看涨的确认将是重新夺回MA，然后是美好的看涨十字星。”
The Bitcoin Archive reported that two of the biggest banks in the U.S. declared owning more than $600 million BTC. Around $418 million BTC is owned by Goldman Sachs and $187 million by Morgan Stanley. The latter also has 15,000 wealth advisors, who have started to market Bitcoin ETFs to clients.
比特币归档报告称，美国最大的两家银行声明拥有超过60000万比特币。高盛拥有大约41800万比特币，摩根士丹利拥有18700万比特币。后者还拥有15000名财富顾问，他们已经开始向客户推销比特币etf。
Crypto industry expert Quinten Francois noted that the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund increased its indirect Bitcoin holdings to 2,446 BTC as of June 2024 compared to 1,507 BTC in 2023.
加密货币行业专家Quinten Francois指出，挪威主权财富基金将其间接比特币持有量从2023年的1507 BTC增加到2024年的2446 BTC。
IntoTheBlock data shows a 3% increase in large transaction volume and a 355.8% spike in exchange netflows.
IntoTheBlock数据显示，大额交易量增加了3％，交易所净流入量增加了355.8％。