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Shareholders in China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

如果股东在五年前投资中国中铁通信(HKG:3969),则现在持仓亏损。
Simply Wall St ·  08/16 00:47

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 36% over a half decade.

对许多人来说,投资的主要目的是获得比整个市场更高的回报。 但是,主要的挑战是寻找足够的赢家超过输家。因此,我们不会责怪长期持有中国中铁信号与通信股份有限公司(HKG:3969)的股东对他们持有的决定产生怀疑,因为该股票在半个十年里下跌了36%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于股东们长期以来都亏损了,因此让我们回顾过去一段时间的基本面,看看是否一直与收益相一致。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:在短期内,市场是投票机,但在长期内,市场是称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格的时间变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度随时间而变化。

Looking back five years, both China Railway Signal & Communication's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 1.7% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 9% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The low P/E ratio of 9.29 further reflects this reticence.

回顾五年,中国中铁信号与通信的股价和每股收益均下跌;每股收益下降速度为1.7%。EPS的降低比股价的年降幅9%要低,因此似乎市场过去过于自信。9.29的低市盈率进一步反映了这种保守态度。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。

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SEHK:3969 Earnings Per Share Growth August 16th 2024
SEHK:3969每股收益增长2024年8月16日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们很高兴地报告说,中国中铁信号与通信的CEO的报酬比同样资本化的公司的大多数CEO都要适当。 -CEO的薪水值得关注,但更重要的问题是公司是否会在未来多年内增长收益。查看我们有关中国中铁信号与通信的收益,营业收入和现金流的免费报告,可能会很值得。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of China Railway Signal & Communication, it has a TSR of -10% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

对于任何给定的股票,重要的是考虑总股东回报以及股票的股价回报。TSR包括任何资本财务收益的价值或贴现,以及基于股息再投资的任何股息。可以说,TSR给出了股票产生的更全面的回报图像。在中国中铁信号与通信的情况下,它在过去五年中具有-10%的TSR。这超过了我们之前提到的股票价格回报。这主要是由于其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We're pleased to report that China Railway Signal & Communication shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 22% over one year. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 2% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - China Railway Signal & Communication has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我们很高兴地报告说,中国中铁信号与通信的股东在过去一年中获得了22%的总股东回报,包括股息。毫无疑问,这些最近的回报比五年内每年亏损2%的TSR要好得多。这让我们有点担心,但该业务可能已扭转其命运。虽然考虑市场条件可能对股票价格产生的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,承担风险-中国中铁信号与通信有1个警告标志,我们认为您应该了解。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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