When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 42.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings' negative earnings growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company can turn things around and break free from the broader downward trend in earnings. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hilton Worldwide Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hilton Worldwide Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.4%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 30% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hilton Worldwide Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Hilton Worldwide Holdings' P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Hilton Worldwide Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Hilton Worldwide Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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