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Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

艾华集团股份有限公司(SHSE:603989)的股价有所下跌,但基本面看起来不错:未来市场是否会纠正股价?
Simply Wall St ·  08/16 19:35

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hunan Aihua Group's (SHSE:603989) recent performance, when its stock has declined 20% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Hunan Aihua Group's ROE in this article.

在看了湖南艾华集团(上海证券交易所:603989)最近的表现之后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去三个月里下跌了20%。然而,公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格动态相一致。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究湖南艾华集团的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东权益回报率(roe)是一种关键指标,用于评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本。更简单地说,它衡量了公司相对股东权益的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hunan Aihua Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,湖南艾华集团的roe为:

7.7% = CN¥283m ÷ CN¥3.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.7% = 2.83亿元人民币 ÷ 37亿元人民币 (基于截至2024年3月的过去12个月)

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

'回报'是上一年度税后收入。从一个角度来看,对于每一元股东的资本,公司赚取了0.08元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经意识到,ROE作为公司未来盈利的有效衡量值。根据公司重新投资或“保留”这些利润的程度,以及公司有效地运用这些利润的程度,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留越高,增长率就会越高,相比于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就会更高。

Hunan Aihua Group's Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

艾华集团的盈利增长和7.7%的roe

On the face of it, Hunan Aihua Group's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.3%, is definitely interesting. However, Hunan Aihua Group's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 4.6%. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the low earnings growth.

乍一看,艾华集团的roe并不值得一提。然而,公司的roe高于平均行业roe的6.3%,这确实很有趣。然而,艾华集团的五年净利润增长相当低,仅平均为4.6%。请记住,公司的roe较低。只是行业roe更低。因此,这在一定程度上解释了低盈利增长。

We then compared Hunan Aihua Group's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 6.4% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将艾华集团的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,发现公司的增长数据低于同期5年平均行业增长率的6.4%,这有点令人担忧。

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SHSE:603989 Past Earnings Growth August 16th 2024
SHSE:603989过去盈利增长2024年8月16日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Hunan Aihua Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

在估值一只股票时,收益增长是一个重要的指标。投资者需要判断的是,预期的收益增长,或者缺乏,是否已经反映在股价中。通过这样做,他们将会知道股票是朝着明朗的未来还是即将面临困境。如果您想了解艾华集团的估值,请参考与行业相比的市盈率。

Is Hunan Aihua Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

艾华集团是否有效利用其保留收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 28% (or a retention ratio of 72% over the past three years, Hunan Aihua Group has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管艾华集团过去三年的中位数派息比率为28%(保留比率为72%),但其盈利增长非常有限,如上所述。因此,可能有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, Hunan Aihua Group has been paying dividends for nine years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,艾华集团已经连续九年支付股息,这是相当长的一段时间,这表明管理层认为股东更偏好股息而不是盈利增长。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

Overall, we feel that Hunan Aihua Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们认为湖南艾华集团确实有一些积极因素需要考虑。尽管我们对于在适度roe和高再投资率情况下利润没有增长感到失望。我们相信可能有一些外部因素可能对业务产生负面影响。即便如此,最新的分析师预测显示,公司将继续看到利润扩张。要了解更多关于公司未来盈利增长预测的信息,请查阅该免费的分析师预测报告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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