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Is Naruida Technology (SHSE:688522) A Risky Investment?

Is Naruida Technology (SHSE:688522) A Risky Investment?

纳瑞达科技 (SHSE:688522)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/16 20:50

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Naruida Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688522) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有些人认为,作为投资者,波动性而非债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过“波动性远非风险的同义词”。当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务超载可能会导致毁灭。我们可以看到,纳瑞达科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688522)在业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否会使公司变得风险更高。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以为企业提供支持,直到企业无法偿还债务,无论是通过新的资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可能会控制企业。然而,在更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以便宜的股票价格稀释股东权益,就可以控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务 – 并且对其自身有利。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是将其现金和债务合在一起来看。

What Is Naruida Technology's Net Debt?

纳瑞达科技的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Naruida Technology had CN¥60.0m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥1.64b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.58b.

正如下图所示,纳瑞达科技于2024年3月有6,000万元人民币的债务,与前年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更详细信息。但是,它确实有16.4亿元人民币的现金来抵消这一点,导致净现金达到15.8亿元人民币。

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SHSE:688522 Debt to Equity History August 17th 2024
SHSE:6885222024年8月17日的股本结构表格

A Look At Naruida Technology's Liabilities

纳瑞达科技的负债情况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Naruida Technology had liabilities of CN¥130.9m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥16.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.64b in cash and CN¥314.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,纳瑞达科技有1.309亿元人民币的应付短期债务,1,690万元人民币的到期债务。相对地,在12个月内到期的他们587.32万元人民币应收账款和31,400万元人民币的应收账款。因此,它可以夸耀比总负债多18亿元人民币的流动资产。

This surplus suggests that Naruida Technology is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Naruida Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种盈余表明,纳瑞达科技正在以既安全又保守的方式使用债务。由于其短期流动性足够,我们认为它不会与其债权人有任何问题。简单地说,纳瑞达科技拥有比债务多得多的现金,这可以认为是它可以安全地管理债务的一个很好的指示。

In fact Naruida Technology's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 80% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Naruida Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

事实上,纳瑞达科技的拯救之道是其低债务水平,因为其EBIt在过去十二个月中暴跌了80%。在偿还债务方面,下降的收入与对健康有害的含糖汽水一样无用。当你分析债务时,很明显要关注资产负债表。但最终,业务未来的盈利能力将决定纳瑞达科技是否能随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。如果您想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告相当有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Naruida Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Naruida Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸上利润来偿还债务,它需要实实在在的现金。纳瑞达科技的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看一下这家公司如何将其利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流是很有趣的,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。过去三年,纳瑞达科技总体上具有实质性的负自由现金流。虽然投资者无疑希望在适当的时候扭转这种局面,但这显然意味着其借款风险更高。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Naruida Technology has CN¥1.58b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Naruida Technology's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Naruida Technology (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管调查公司的债务状况总是明智的,但在这种情况下,纳瑞达科技具有1.58亿元人民币的净现金和一个看起来不错的资产负债表。因此,我们对纳瑞达科技的债务使用没有任何问题。当您分析债务时,很明显要关注资产负债表。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内,远非如此。例如,我们已经发现了纳瑞达科技的两个预警信号(其中有一个让我们有点不舒服!)在这里投资之前,您应该知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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