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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Winnebago Industries, Inc. (NYSE:WGO)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Winnebago Industries, Inc. (NYSE:WGO)?

股票下跌但财务表现良好:市场对温尼巴格实业股份有限公司 (纽交所WGO)的判断是否有误?
Simply Wall St ·  08/17 09:03

Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.1%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Winnebago Industries' ROE today.

温尼巴格实业(纽交所:WGO)在过去三个月中股价下跌了6.1%。然而,股价通常受公司的长期财务状况驱动,在这种情况下,财务状况看起来相当稳健。特别是,我们将在今天关注温尼巴格实业的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或roe是一项关键指标,用于评估公司管理层使用公司资本的效率。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Winnebago Industries is:

因此,根据上述公式,温尼巴格实业的roe为:

6.5% = US$86m ÷ US$1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to May 2024).

6.5%=8600万美元÷ 13亿美元(基于过去十二个月至2024年5月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.07 in profit.

“回报”是年利润。另一种思考方法是,对于每1美元的股权,公司能够赚取0.07美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

迄今为止,我们已经了解到roe是公司盈利能力的一种衡量方式。根据公司重新投资或保留这些利润的数量,以及有效程度,我们能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般来说,其他条件相同的情况下,具有高roe和盈利保留能力的公司比没有这些特征的公司的增长率更高。

Winnebago Industries' Earnings Growth And 6.5% ROE

温尼巴格实业的盈利增长和6.5%的ROE

On the face of it, Winnebago Industries' ROE is not much to talk about. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 19%. However, the moderate 15% net income growth seen by Winnebago Industries over the past five years is definitely a positive. So, the growth in the company's earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

就表面而言,温尼巴格实业的ROE并没有太多可谈的。然后,我们将公司的ROE与整个行业进行了比较,很失望地看到ROE低于19%的行业平均水平。然而,在过去五年中温尼巴格实业看到了适度的15%的净利润增长,这绝对是一个积极的信号。因此,公司收益的增长可能是由其他变量引起的。例如,公司的管理层可能做出了一些好的战略决策,或者公司的派息比率较低。

As a next step, we compared Winnebago Industries' net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 20% in the same period.

作为下一步,我们将温尼巴格实业的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,很失望地看到公司的增长低于同期20%的行业平均增长率。

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NYSE:WGO Past Earnings Growth August 17th 2024
纽交所:WGO过去的盈利增长2024年8月17日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is WGO fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

附加公司价值的依据在很大程度上与其盈利增长有关。投资者知道市场是否已经定价公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)是非常重要的。这可以帮助他们确定股票未来是否会光明或黯淡。WGO是否公平价值?公司内在价值的这个信息图表拥有您需要的所有信息。

Is Winnebago Industries Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

温尼巴格实业是否有效地利用其留存收益?在温尼巴格实业的情况下,其可观的收益增长可能可以解释为其低的三年中位数派息比率为7.3%(或留存比率为93%),这表明公司正在投资其大部分利润来发展业务。

In Winnebago Industries' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 7.3% (or a retention ratio of 93%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

此外,温尼巴格实业已至少连续十年派发股息。这表明公司致力于与股东分享利润。根据当前分析师的共识数据,我们可以看到公司的未来派息比率预计将在未来三年内提高至15%。尽管派息比率预计会增加,但温尼巴格实业的未来ROE预计将上升至17%。可能还有其他因素可以驱动ROE的未来增长。

Besides, Winnebago Industries has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 15% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Winnebago Industries is speculated to rise to 17% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

总体而言,我们认为温尼巴格实业确实有一些积极因素需要考虑。也就是说,通过高额再投资支持的合理盈利增长。但是,我们认为如果企业在低ROE率上有所改善,那么盈利增长可能会更高。特别是考虑到公司正在重新投资其大部分利润。话虽如此,根据当前分析师的预测,我们发现公司的收益预计将获得动力。要了解有关该公司最新分析师预测的更多信息,请查看此分析师预测的可视化。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Winnebago Industries certainly does have some positive factors to consider. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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