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CK Asset Holdings Limited Just Recorded A 35% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

CK Asset Holdings Limited Just Recorded A 35% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

长实集团仅记录了35%的每股收益超出预期:下一步分析师预测。
Simply Wall St ·  08/17 20:30

CK Asset Holdings Limited (HKG:1113) last week reported its latest half-year results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Revenues of HK$22b fell slightly short of expectations, but earnings were a definite bright spot, with statutory per-share profits of HK$2.44 an impressive 35% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

长实集团(HKG:1113)上周公布了其最新的半年度业绩,这是投资者深入研究业务是否符合预期的好时机。 营业收入为220亿港元,稍微低于预期,但收益是一个明显的亮点,每股收益(HK$2.44)的法定盈利超出预期35%。收益是投资者的重要时机,因为他们可以跟踪公司的表现,查看分析师对明年的预测,并查看对公司的情绪是否发生变化。 因此,我们收集了最新的市场consensus预估,以了解明年的情况可能会发生什么。

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SEHK:1113 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 18th 2024
SEHK:1113 2024年8月18日盈利和营收增长

After the latest results, the ten analysts covering CK Asset Holdings are now predicting revenues of HK$49.6b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a solid 11% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to shrink 7.9% to HK$4.11 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of HK$50.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of HK$4.04 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

在最新的业绩公布后,覆盖长实集团的10位分析师预测公司2024年的营业收入将达到496亿港元。如果达到目标,则与过去12个月相比,该收入将增长11%。同时,法定每股收益预计在该期间缩水7.9%至HK$4.11。 但是,在最新的收益公布之前,分析师之前对2024年的营收预计为501亿港元,earnings per share (EPS)预计为HK$4.04。consensus预计分析师似乎没有从这些结果中看到任何改变,因为他们对公司的预估没有太大变化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at HK$36.73. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic CK Asset Holdings analyst has a price target of HK$45.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at HK$31.00. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

你应该毫不意外地了解到,consensus价值目标基本没有变化,仍为HK$36.73。查看分析师的预估范围可能也很有启发性,以评估离群分析师意见与平均意见有多不同。最乐观的长实集团分析师将股票价格定为每股HK$45.00,而最悲观的分析师则将其定为每股HK$31.00。这表明估值仍存在差异,但分析师对股票似乎没有完全分歧,也不认为可能成为成功或失败的情况。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. For example, we noticed that CK Asset Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 23% growth to the end of 2024 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 10% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 5.5% annually. Not only are CK Asset Holdings' revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.

更多背景了解这些预测的方法之一是比较过去的业绩以及同行业其他公司的表现。例如,我们发现长实集团的增长速度预计将显著加快,预计营收将在2024年以年化基础上增长23%。这远高于其过去五年年均下降10%的历史数据。与整个行业的分析师预估相比,长实集团的营收预计不仅会有所提高,而且分析师还预计它将比整个行业增长更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$36.73, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最重要的是,情绪没有发生重大变化,分析师重申公司的营收和盈利预测与他们此前的预估相符。幸运的是,他们还重申了营收预算,这表明它符合预期。此外,我们的数据表明,收入预计将比整个行业增长更快。consensus价值目标稳定在HK$36.73,最新的预估没有对其价格目标产生影响。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on CK Asset Holdings. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple CK Asset Holdings analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

这在考虑到本公司的长期盈利能力比明年的盈利更重要时,我们不应该过早得出关于长实集团的结论。我们有来自多位长实集团分析师的预估报告,时间跨度到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for CK Asset Holdings you should be aware of.

不过,你应该始终考虑风险。例如,我们发现有二个警示风险的迹象,你需要注意。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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