XianheLtd (SHSE:603733) Sheds CN¥614m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
XianheLtd (SHSE:603733) Sheds CN¥614m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years
If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Xianhe Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603733) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. So they might be feeling emotional about the 58% share price collapse, in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 23% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 13% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
如果您喜欢投资股票,那么您可能会买一些亏损的股票。然而在过去的三年里,先河股份股东们的运行非常不幸。在此期间股价已经下跌了58%。近期股价下跌加速,过去三个月股价下跌23%。当然,这一股价行动很可能受到了整个市场在这段时间内下跌13%的影响。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。
XianheLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 1.5% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 25% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 10.72.
在过去的三年里,先河股份的每股收益以1.5%的复合率下降。然而,相比之下,股价每年下跌25%的速度更快。因此,市场对每股收益的下降感到失望,使得投资者不太愿意购买。这种加强的谨慎也表现在市盈率相当低的情况下,目前市盈率只有10.72。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on XianheLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
值得注意的是,先河股份的CEO薪酬低于同等规模的公司的薪酬中位数。虽然关注CEO的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是该公司能否在未来实现盈利增长。研究先河股份的收益、营收和现金流的免费报告可能非常值得一看。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for XianheLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -56%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报率时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报率(TSR)和股价回报率之间的差异。虽然股价回报只反映了股价的变化,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折扣的资本筹集或分拆的利益。可以说,TSR给出了一张更全面的股票回报图。我们注意到,先河股份在过去的3年中的TSR为-56%,这比上面提到的股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
The total return of 18% received by XianheLtd shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -16%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data remains strong, and the share price is simply down on sentiment, then this could be an opportunity worth investigating. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for XianheLtd (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
过去一年先河股份股东获得的总回报率为18%,与市场回报率-16%相差不远。长期投资者可能不会太难过,因为在过去5年中,他们每年都能获得4%的回报。如果基本数据保持强劲,股价仅仅由于情绪而下跌,那么这可能是一个值得研究的机会。我认为,以股价长期表现作为业务绩效的代理非常有趣。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经发现了先河股份的3个警示信号(其中2个可能相当严重!)在投资这里之前应该注意这些警告。
But note: XianheLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:先河股份可能不是最好的股票选择。因此,可以查看这个免费列表,其中包含过去收益增长(以及进一步收益预测)的有趣公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。