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Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600172) Stock Rockets 26% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600172) Stock Rockets 26% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

由于投资者比预期更加不那么悲观,河南黄河旋风股份有限公司(SHSE:600172)股票飙升26%
Simply Wall St ·  08/19 18:17

Those holding Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600172) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 36% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in China's Machinery industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SHSE:600172 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 19th 2024

How Has Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Performed Recently?

For instance, Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Henan Huanghe Whirlwind?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Henan Huanghe Whirlwind would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 39%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 48% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's P/S Mean For Investors?

Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Henan Huanghe Whirlwind currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Henan Huanghe Whirlwind you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Henan Huanghe Whirlwind, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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