Xinhua News Media Holdings Limited (HKG:309) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 30% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 16%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Xinhua News Media Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Commercial Services industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
SEHK:309 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 19th 2024
How Has Xinhua News Media Holdings Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for Xinhua News Media Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Xinhua News Media Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Xinhua News Media Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xinhua News Media Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 30% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 5.3% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Xinhua News Media Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does Xinhua News Media Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Xinhua News Media Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Commercial Services industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Xinhua News Media Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Xinhua News Media Holdings (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Xinhua News Media Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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