These 4 Measures Indicate That TPV Technology (SZSE:000727) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That TPV Technology (SZSE:000727) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, TPV Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000727) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克思说得好,与其担心股价的波动性,我更担心的是永久损失的可能性......我认识的每个有经验的投资者都会关注这个问题。因此,聪明人知道,债务(通常与破产有关)是评估一家公司风险的一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,冠捷科技股份有限公司(SZSE:000727)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司变得风险更大。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
通常情况下,当一个公司无法轻易偿还债务,无法通过筹资或自身自由现金流偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题。最糟糕的情况是,如果公司无法偿还债务,它会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然很昂贵)的情况是,公司必须通过低价股票让股东稀释股权来控制债务。当然,在某些资本密集型企业中,债务也可以是一个重要的工具。当我们考虑债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
How Much Debt Does TPV Technology Carry?
冠捷科技有多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that TPV Technology had CN¥2.94b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥8.64b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.09b in cash, leading to a CN¥2.15b net cash position.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示冠捷科技于2024年3月有29.4亿人民币的债务,比一年前的86.4亿人民币有所减少。另一方面,它还有50.9亿人民币的现金,净现金位置为21.5亿人民币。
A Look At TPV Technology's Liabilities
冠捷科技负债情况一览
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that TPV Technology had liabilities of CN¥24.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.26b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.09b as well as receivables valued at CN¥9.87b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥10.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,冠捷科技有243亿人民币的到期负债,12.6亿人民币的到期超过一年的债务。 抵消这些债务的是,它拥有50.9亿人民币的现金以及价值987亿人民币的应收账款,其中12个月内到期。 因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多106亿人民币。
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥9.01b, we think shareholders really should watch TPV Technology's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. TPV Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total.
鉴于这个逆差实际上高于公司的市值90.1亿人民币,我们认为股东们确实应该像父母看着自己的孩子第一次骑车一样关注冠捷科技的债务水平。 如果公司必须迅速清理资产负债表的情况下,股东们很可能会遭受严重的摊薄。 冠捷科技拥有净现金,因此可以说,即使总体上负债相当显著,它并没有沉重的债务负担。
Even more impressive was the fact that TPV Technology grew its EBIT by 158% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is TPV Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
更令人印象深刻的是,冠捷科技过去12个月将其EBIt增长了158%。这种增长将使未来偿还债务变得更加容易。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中能了解到债务的大部分情况。 但冠捷科技的盈利将影响资产负债表未来的情况。 因此,在考虑债务时,值得关注盈利趋势。 点击此处查看交互式快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. TPV Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, TPV Technology created free cash flow amounting to 3.2% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
最后,虽然税务部门可能崇拜会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。 冠捷科技可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但看一下企业将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,是很有意思的,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。 在过去的三年里,冠捷科技创造的自由现金流相当于其EBIt的3.2%,表现不佳。 这种低水平的现金转化削弱了其管理和偿还债务的能力。
Summing Up
总之
Although TPV Technology's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥2.15b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 158% over the last year. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about TPV Technology's balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with TPV Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然冠捷科技的资产负债表并不是特别强大,由于总负债的存在,但看到它有21.5亿人民币的净现金令人感到乐观。同时,它去年的利润增长了158%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,虽然我们认为还有一些需要改进的地方,但我们对冠捷科技的资产负债表并不是太担心。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的大部分是关于债务的。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经发现了冠捷科技的1个风险信号,了解它们应该成为您的投资过程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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