Veteran Investor Mark Mobius Warns Of Potential Risk To US Markets Amid Recent Volatility: '...Get Ready To Re-enter The Market'1
Veteran Investor Mark Mobius Warns Of Potential Risk To US Markets Amid Recent Volatility: '...Get Ready To Re-enter The Market'1
Esteemed investor Mark Mobius has pointed out a potential risk that could disrupt the U.S. markets, given the recent market volatility.
备受尊敬的投资者马克·莫比乌斯指出了一项潜在风险,可能会在最近市场波动中引发混乱。
What Happened: Mobius, the founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners, has been closely monitoring the growth of the U.S. M2 money supply. The M2 money supply, which encompasses cash held in certain deposits or other savings mediums, reached a peak of $21.722 trillion in April 2022 but fell to $21.025 trillion in June 2024, a decrease of approximately 3.21%. According to Mobius, this decline is historically significant as it represents the largest drop in over 90 years, CNBC reported on Monday.
发生了什么:成为莫比乌斯资本合伙创始人的莫比乌斯一直密切关注美国M2货币供应量的增长。 M2货币供应量包括存储在某些存款或其他储蓄介质中的现金,2022年4月达到了21.722万亿美元的峰值,但在2024年6月下降至21.025万亿美元,下降了约3.21%。据报道,莫比乌斯表示,这种下降在历史上具有重要意义,因为它代表了90多年来最大的下降。
Mobius voiced his concerns that if the M2 money supply continues to fall and fails to keep up with economic growth, there could be a reduction in capital available for discretionary spending. This has been a key driver of the current economic expansion and bull market on Wall Street.
莫比乌斯表达了他的担忧,如果M2货币供应量继续下降,未能跟上经济增长,可能会减少可用于自由支配开销的资金。这一点是当前经济扩张和华尔街牛市的关键驱动力。
"Look for companies with little or no debt, moderate earnings growth, and high return on capital, and get ready to re-enter the market," Mobius advised.
“寻找负债少或没有,收益增长适中,资本回报率高的公司,并准备重新进入市场,”莫比乌斯建议。
Despite the risks, Mobius still sees potential in tech stocks, particularly those in the semiconductor industry. He thinks that companies like TSMC (NYSE:TSM), United Micro (NYSE:UMC), and others will continue to thrive due to increasing global demand and the rise of AI. However, he cautioned that companies with weak balance sheets, low or no earnings growth, and high debt could face significant challenges.
尽管存在风险,但莫比乌斯仍然看好科技股,特别是半导体行业的股票。他认为,像TSMC(NYSE:TSM)、联华电子(NYSE:UMC)和其他公司将在全球需求不断增加和人工智能的崛起中继续蓬勃发展。但是,他警告称,财务状况薄弱、收益增长低或没有、债务高的公司可能面临重大挑战。
Why It Matters: This warning comes after a period of optimism in the U.S. markets. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 had extended their winning streak to eight consecutive sessions, as traders remained optimistic about the U.S. economic outlook and improving financial conditions.
为什么这很重要:这种警告是在美国市场乐观期之后发出的。截至文章发布,标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数连续八个交易日获得上涨,交易员对美国经济前景和财务状况的改善仍然持乐观态度。
However, Mobius had previously predicted further economic struggles following a stock market crash, attributing it to rising global geopolitical tensions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Additionally, concerns have been raised about the government printing too much money, which could result in inflation.
然而,在股市崩盘之后,莫比乌斯此前曾预测会进一步遭遇经济困难,并将其归因于全球地缘政治紧张局势和即将到来的美国总统选举。此外,人们对政府印刷过量的担忧也引发了通胀的可能性。
Price Action: The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) which tracks the S&P 500 closed at $559.61 while Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1(NASDAQ:QQQ) closed at $481.27, according to Benzinga Pro.
价格行动:根据Benzinga Pro的数据,SPDR标普500 ETF Trust(纽交所:SPY)收于559.61美元,而Invesco QQQ Trust,Series 1(纳斯达克:QQQ)收于481.27美元。
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Image via Shutterstock
图片来自shutterstock。
This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Pooja Rajkumari
本报道使用Benzinga Neuro生成,并由Pooja Rajkumari编辑