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We Think Clover Health Investments (NASDAQ:CLOV) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

We Think Clover Health Investments (NASDAQ:CLOV) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

我们认为Clover Health Investments (纳斯达克:CLOV)需谨慎推动业务增长。
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 06:25

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. Indeed, Clover Health Investments (NASDAQ:CLOV) stock is up 139% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

我们可以很容易地理解为什么投资者会对无利润公司感兴趣。事实上,Clover Health Investments(纳斯达克:CLOV)的股票在过去一年中上涨了139%,为股东提供了强劲的收益。尽管如此,任何人都不会忽略亏损公司烧钱过快的风险。

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Clover Health Investments' cash burn is. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

考虑到Clover Health Investments股价的上涨,我们认为现在是调查其现金烧毁风险的好时机。本文将现金烧毁定义为公司每年用于资助其增长的现金金额(也称为负自由现金流)的量。让我们从检查业务的现金相对于其现金烧毁开始。

Does Clover Health Investments Have A Long Cash Runway?

Clover Health Investments有长期现金储备吗?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Clover Health Investments last reported its June 2024 balance sheet in August 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$379m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$178m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.1 years from June 2024. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

公司的现金跑道是指其以当前的现金烧毁速度耗尽其现金储备所需的时间。当Clover Health Investments在2024年六月份的资产负债表中报告时,其没有债务,现金价值为3.79亿美元。从去年看,该公司烧掉了1.78亿美元。因此,它从2024年6月开始的现金储备为大约2.1年。可以说,这是一个审慎和明智的现金跑道长度。下图显示了其现金持有量随时间变化的情况。

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NasdaqGS:CLOV Debt to Equity History August 20th 2024
纳斯达克GS:CLOV股本与权益历史2024年8月20日

How Well Is Clover Health Investments Growing?

Clover Health Investments的增长如何?

Notably, Clover Health Investments actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 184%, signifying heavy investment in the business. As if that's not bad enough, the operating revenue also dropped by 15%, making us very wary indeed. Considering these two factors together makes us nervous about the direction the company seems to be heading. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

值得注意的是,Clover Health Investments在过去一年中的现金烧毁速度上升得非常迅速,增长了184%,表明公司大量投资于业务。更糟糕的是,营业收入也下降了15%,使我们非常担心。考虑到这两个因素,我们对公司的发展方向感到紧张。虽然过去总是值得研究的,但未来才是最重要的。因此,您可能需要看看公司在未来几年内预计增长多少。

Can Clover Health Investments Raise More Cash Easily?

Clover Health Investments能够轻松筹集更多资金吗?

Even though it seems like Clover Health Investments is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

尽管Clover Health Investments似乎正在良好地发展其业务,但我们仍然喜欢考虑它能否轻松筹集更多资金以加速增长。公司可以通过债务或股本发行筹集资本。通常,业务将向自己出售新股份以筹集资金并推动增长。通过将公司每年的现金烧毁与其总市值进行比较,我们可以粗略地估计它需要发行多少股份才能在另一年运营公司(以相同的烧毁速率)。

Clover Health Investments' cash burn of US$178m is about 13% of its US$1.4b market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

Clover Health Investments的现金烧毁为1.78亿美元,约占其14亿美元的市值的13%。因此,我们敢说公司可以毫不费力地筹集更多资金以实现增长,尽管会有一定程度的摊薄成本。

How Risky Is Clover Health Investments' Cash Burn Situation?

Clover Health Investments的现金烧毁情况有多大风险?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Clover Health Investments' cash runway was relatively promising. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 3 warning signs for Clover Health Investments that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

尽管现金烧毁量增加使我们有些担忧,但我们不得不提到Clover Health Investments的现金跑道相对较为有希望。我们认为其现金烧毁并不是特别令人担忧,但在考虑本文中的各种因素后,我们认为股东应该监控其随时间变化的情况。风险的深入审查揭示了3个Clover Health Investments的警示标志,读者在向该股票提供资金之前应该考虑这些警告标志。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

当然,您可能会在其他地方寻找到一个出色的投资机会。因此,瞥一眼这个有趣公司的免费名单,和这个股票成长股的(根据分析师预测)。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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