When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Copart, Inc. (NASDAQ:CPRT) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 35.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Copart has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
NasdaqGS:CPRT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 20th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Copart.
How Is Copart's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Copart's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 20% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 61% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.2% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that Copart's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Copart's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Copart with six simple checks.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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