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The 15% Return This Week Takes Micron Technology's (NASDAQ:MU) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 155%

The 15% Return This Week Takes Micron Technology's (NASDAQ:MU) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 155%

本周15%的回报使得美光科技(纳斯达克代码: MU)的股东五年的收益增长了155%。
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 12:32

It hasn't been the best quarter for Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 15% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 150% in that time. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. The more important question is whether the stock is too cheap or too expensive today.

美光科技股份有限公司(纳斯达克代码:MU)的股东们度过的季度并不是最好的,股价在此期间下跌了15%。但这并不能从公司在过去五年中产生的非常出色的长期回报中抹去。实际上,股价在此期间上涨了惊人的150%。我们认为,关注长期回报而非短期回报更为重要。更重要的问题是,这只股票今天是太便宜还是太贵了。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在过去的一周之内,获得的强劲收益是否表明了长期回报受到基本面的推动值得关注。

Micron Technology wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

美光科技上一年并没有盈利,因此其股价与每股收益(EPS)之间可能不存在强相关性。我们认为收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。未盈利公司的股东通常会期望强劲的收入增长。如您所想象的那样,当收入增长迅速并持续时,往往会导致利润增长迅速。

In the last 5 years Micron Technology saw its revenue shrink by 2.4% per year. On the other hand, the share price done the opposite, gaining 20%, compound, each year. It's a good reminder that expectations about the future, not the past history, always impact share prices. Still, this situation makes us a little wary of the stock.

在过去的5年中,美光科技的营业收入每年减少2.4%。另一方面,股价却上升了20%,每年复合增长。这表明人们对未来的期望而不是过去的历史总是会影响股价。尽管如此,这种情况还是让我们对股票有些戒备。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

big
NasdaqGS:MU Earnings and Revenue Growth August 20th 2024
纳斯达克GS:MU盈利和营收增长2024年8月20日

Micron Technology is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Micron Technology will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

美光科技是一只知名的股票,有充足的分析师覆盖,这表明了一些对未来增长的可见性。因此,查看分析师对美光科技未来盈利预测(免费分析师共识预测)是非常有意义的。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Micron Technology's TSR for the last 5 years was 155%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股票价格的回报率,投资者还应考虑股东的总回报率(TSR)。股票价格回报率仅反映股票价格的变化,而TSR则包括股息的价值(假定它们被再投资)以及任何折价资本筹集或分拆的利益。可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。事实上,美光科技过去五年的TSR为155%,超过了前面提到的股票价格回报率。公司支付的股息因此提高了股东的总回报率。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

It's nice to see that Micron Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 71% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 21% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. If you would like to research Micron Technology in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

很高兴看到美光科技股东在过去一年中获得了71%的总回报,其中包括股息。由于一年的总回报要比五年的总回报(后者为每年21%)要好,因此股票的表现近期有所改善。鉴于股票价格趋势仍然强劲,可能值得更仔细地观察该股票,以免错过机会。如果您想更详细地研究美光科技,那么可以查看公司内部人员是否一直在买卖该公司的股票。

But note: Micron Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:美光科技可能不是最好的股票。因此,不妨查看这个自由的有过去盈利增长(和进一步增长预测)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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