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Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600835) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600835) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

最近上海机电公司(SHSE: 600835)的股票表现疲软,但财务前景看起来不错:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 18:24

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) has had a rough three months with its share price down 14%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE in this article.

上海机电股份有限公司(SHSE:600835)在过去三个月表现不佳,股价下跌了14%。然而,公司的基本面还是相当不错的,长期财务状况通常与未来股市价格的变动相吻合。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究上海机电股份有限公司的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东必须考虑股本回报率或ROE,因为它告诉他们公司如何有效地重新投资他们的资本。 简而言之,ROE显示每美元股东投资所产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is:

所以,根据上述公式,上海机电股份有限公司的roe为:

9.3% = CN¥1.5b ÷ CN¥17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

9.3% = CN¥15亿 ÷ CN¥170亿(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.09 in profit.

“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。 另一种思考方法是,对于每个元股权,公司能够赚取0.09元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一种指标。根据公司选择重新投资或“保留”多少利润,我们就能评估公司未来盈利的能力。一般来说,其他条件相同的情况下,具有高roe和盈利保留的公司比不具备这些属性的公司增长率更高。

Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.3% ROE

上海机电业务有限公司的盈利增长和9.3%ROE

At first glance, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.9% doesn't go unnoticed by us. But then again, seeing that Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's net income shrunk at a rate of 5.7% in the past five years, makes us think again. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,上海机电业务有限公司的ROE似乎不太令人满意。然而,它的ROE相对于行业平均水平6.9%的事实让我们留意到。但是再次看到,在过去五年中,上海机电业务有限公司的净利润以5.7%的速度下降,让我们再次思考。请记住,该公司的ROE略低,只是行业ROE更低。因此,这在一定程度上解释了盈利的缩水。

However, when we compared Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将上海机电业务有限公司的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现尽管该公司的盈利一直在缩水,但行业在同一时期的盈利增长率为9.5%,这令人不安。

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SHSE:600835 Past Earnings Growth August 20th 2024
SHSE:600835过去的盈利增长2024年8月20日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

对于一个公司的价值评估,在很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。投资者需要判断的是预期的盈利增长,或者缺乏盈利增长是否已经反映在股价上。通过这样做,他们将了解到股票是朝着明朗的蓝海还是沼泽等待。预期盈利增长的一个好指标是市盈率,它根据盈利前景确定市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,你可能想要检查一下上海机电行业股份有限公司的市盈率相对于行业是偏高还是偏低。

Is Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海机电行业股份有限公司是否有效地重新投资其利润?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 42% (or a retention ratio of 58%) which is pretty normal, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

从其三年的中位数股息支付比率为42%(或保留比率为58%)来看,这是相当正常的,上海机电行业股份有限公司的盈利下滑相当令人困惑,因为当一个公司保留了大部分利润时,人们通常希望看到一定的增长。所以在这方面可能有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能在恶化。

Moreover, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海机电行业股份有限公司至少已经连续支付股息十年或更长时间,这表明管理层认为股东更喜欢分红而不是盈利增长。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd has some positive aspects to its business. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,上海机电全模电气有限公司的业务确实有一些积极的方面。然而,尽管公司的roe不错,利润保留较高,但其盈利增长率却令人失望。这表明可能存在一些外部威胁,以阻碍其增长。正因如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示分析师预计公司的盈利增长率将大幅提高。要了解更多关于公司最新分析师预测的信息,请查看此可视化分析师预测公司的链接。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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