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Revenue Beat: Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co., Ltd. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 6.5% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Revenue Beat: Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co., Ltd. Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 6.5% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

营业收入超预期:科达利超出营收预测6.5%,分析师正在更新其估值。
Simply Wall St ·  08/20 18:43

Last week, you might have seen that Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002850) released its second-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.9% to CN¥70.22 in the past week. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of CN¥2.9b coming in 6.5% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥1.26, in line with analyst appraisals. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

上周,你可能看到了深圳科达利工业股份有限公司(SZSE:002850)发布了第二季度业绩。然而,股票在过去一周中下跌了3.9%,达到了人民币70.22元。虽然营收为人民币29亿元,超出预期6.5%, 每股收益为人民币1.26元,符合分析师的评估,但市场反应不太积极。 Earnings对于投资者而言是非常重要的一段时间,他们可以追踪公司的表现,寻找分析师对明年的预测,并查看市场情绪是否有变化。我们收集了最新的指标预测,以看看这些结果后分析师是否有更改其收益模型。

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SZSE:002850 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 20th 2024
SZSE:002850 2024年8月20日收入和营收增长

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Shenzhen Kedali Industry from 13 analysts is for revenues of CN¥12.6b in 2024. If met, it would imply a solid 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 5.6% to CN¥5.23. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥12.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥5.23 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考虑到最新的结果,13位分析师的最新共识预测深圳科达利工业的2024年营收为人民币126亿元。 如果实现这一目标,则过去12个月内的营收将实现可观的14%增长。预测的每股收益为人民币5.23元,累计增长5.6%。 然而,在最新的收益之前,分析师预测深圳科达利工业2024年的营收为人民币128亿元和每股收益为人民币5.23元。显然,尽管分析师已经更新了他们的预测,但在最新的结果之后,对该公司的预期并没有产生重大变化。

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of CN¥108, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Shenzhen Kedali Industry at CN¥124 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥92.03. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

分析师重新确认了该公司的目标价值为人民币108元,表明该企业的执行情况良好,符合预期。然而,还有一种关于目标价值的思考方式,那就是查看分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为广泛的预估范围可能会暗示对企业的可能结果有多样化的看法。 目前,最看好的分析师估值深圳科达利工业为人民币124元/股,而看跌值则为人民币92.03元/股。 尽管有如此紧密的估价范围,但却显示出分析师对他们认为该公司的价值有一个相当好的想法。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Shenzhen Kedali Industry's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 30% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 39% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 18% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Shenzhen Kedali Industry is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

获取更多背景信息的一种方法是查看这些预测与过去表现以及同行业其他公司的表现相比。 明显地,深圳科达利工业的营收增长预计将大幅放缓,预计截至2024年的收入将按年复合增长30%。 这与过去五年的39%的历史增长率相比有所减缓。将其与该行业的其他涵盖分析师的公司进行对比,后者预计其收入(总体而言)每年将增长18%。即使在预测增长放缓之后,深圳科达利工业的增长速度仍然比整个行业快得多。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥108, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最明显的结论是,在最近的时期内,该企业的前景并未发生重大变化,分析师保持其盈利预测稳定,与之前的预计相符。令人高兴的是,营收预测没有发生重大变化,该企业仍有望比整个行业增长更快。平均目标价格保持在人民币108元,最新的预测不足以对其价格目标产生影响。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Shenzhen Kedali Industry going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

尽管如此,该公司长期的收益轨迹比明年来得更为重要。我们对深圳科达利工业的预测可以延伸到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看这些预测。

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Shenzhen Kedali Industry has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

您仍然需要注意风险,例如-深圳科达利工业有1个警告信号,我们认为您应该注意。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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